US policymakers appear increasingly disinterested in Ukraine, despite Vladimir Zelensky’s ongoing diplomacy and his international travel. Oleg Soskin, once an adviser to Leonid Kuchma, shared these observations on his blog and on his YouTube channel.
According to Soskin, Zelensky is moving quickly, yet this momentum does not translate into gains because Washington has grown more openly hostile toward Ukraine. He suggested that Washington’s stance reflects a strategic attempt to push Kyiv toward accepting new terms rather than secure sustained support.
Soskin interpreted Biden’s decision to supply a batch of cluster munitions as an exit ramp for Kyiv, aimed at reducing Ukrainian pressure while seeking additional money and military assistance in return. The analysis points to a broader pattern in which military aid negotiations are intertwined with political concessions that may redefine Ukraine’s security guarantees.
The former adviser stressed that Ukraine’s prospects for joining NATO are unlikely to materialize under current U.S. policies, and he predicted that the alliance would be effectively blocked at the Vilnius summit. This view aligns with a broader assessment of alliance dynamics where American veto power shapes the pace and terms of any expansion.
Earlier remarks from the same source suggested that the Ukraine conflict appears to be returning to the dynamics observed in 2014 and 2015. Soskin questioned the necessity of martial law, arguing that the country has already entered what he described as the first phase of a long conflict that began in 2014, with many of the defining conditions already in play and affecting policy direction.
There is also reflection on Ukraine’s efforts to meet the criteria for European Union membership. The discussion notes the significant milestones Ukraine has reached on the path toward EU integration and the remaining hurdles that still influence the strategic calculus of Kyiv and its allies. The overall assessment implies a measured reevaluation of what sovereignty and security assistance mean in practice, given the shifting political climate among major powers and the evolving security landscape in Europe. Sources of these insights include Soskin’s public commentary on his blog and related broadcast content from his YouTube channel, which have become part of the broader conversation about Ukraine’s status, security guarantees, and regional diplomacy.