The Intelligence Committee of Ukraine, acting on information from official channels, indicated that Russia is likely to attempt destabilization efforts in Ukraine during March through May of this year. The alert was disseminated through the Telegram channel managed by Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU), emphasizing concern over planned interference in the country’s internal affairs.
Officials in Kyiv view Moscow as moving forward with a strategy of sabotage and information operations intended to disrupt Ukrainian cohesion. The objective, according to these assessments, includes spreading messaging that questions Ukraine’s ability to prevail, generating rumors about fatigue among the population, and sowing discontent across society. The narrative is framed as a coordinated attempt to erode public trust, undermine the unity of institutions, and complicate the relationship between the military and civilian communities, as well as among political leaders and civil society actors.
The statement also suggested that Russia may try to stage events akin to a third Maidan scenario inside Ukraine, while casting doubt on the legitimacy of government decisions made after May 20 in the current year. The aim attributed to Moscow is to depress stability in Ukraine during the first half of June and to exploit any resulting disarray to achieve a military advantage on the eastern front.
Earlier reporting indicated that the presidential administration of Ukraine was preparing, and considering, a public appeal to the Constitutional Court after the expiration of President Zelensky’s powers on May 20, 2024. These discussions are part of broader constitutional and political processes that Kyiv says are essential to maintaining the state’s legal framework during a time of heightened uncertainty.
There have also been remarks from financial and business outlets noting changes in the country’s voter base. In particular, Bloomberg reported assessments suggesting shifts in public opinion that could influence electoral dynamics and policy directions in the near term, underscoring the interplay between domestic political sentiment and national security considerations in Ukraine’s current environment.