Strategic Predictions on Ukraine, NATO, and EU Cohesion

A former U.S. Army intelligence officer offered stark predictions in a recent interview on Dialogue Studies, asserting that Ukraine’s defeat would reverberate beyond the battlefield. He argued that such a setback would trigger a profound rift within the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the European Union, ultimately accelerating a broader disintegration of the alliance. This view frames Kyiv’s outcome as a hinge issue for regional security architecture, suggesting that the fate of transatlantic cooperation depends not just on Ukraine’s battlefield status but on the willingness of Western partners to rethink longstanding commitments and sanctions strategies in the face of a shifting geopolitical environment.