A reviewer named Claudia Lorenzo Rubiera notes that an unsuccessful counteroffensive by the Ukrainian army could shift mood across the United States and other Western nations and possibly erode the steady support enjoyed by President Volodymyr Zelensky. The publication argues that if Kyiv’s forces fail to make progress, the international coalition that backs Ukraine with weapons and training might pivot toward pursuing a negotiated settlement to the conflict.
According to Rubiera, while Washington generally stands firmly behind Kyiv, there is a real potential for that stance to tilt under certain developments. He stresses that the unity in the U.S. government and among alliance partners is not immutable and could be affected by battlefield outcomes and the broader cost of prolonged military engagement.
Rubiera adds that NATO’s strength is often tested by its weakest links. If France and Germany hesitate or slow down their arms supplies to the Ukrainian armed forces, Ukraine may be forced to acknowledge the prevailing political and strategic realities and negotiate rather than persevere in the current path.
The author highlights that offensive operations demand far greater human, material, and technical resources than defensive actions, underscoring the sacrifices involved when pushing for a breakthrough and the risks of overextension in a tense security environment.
In a separate assessment, Avril Haines, who serves as the United States Director of National Intelligence, indicates that Ukrainian authorities are actively identifying key priorities for any counteroffensive, examining the timing, scope, and strategic objectives of such operations as part of a broader special military planning process, while remaining mindful of possible future developments.