Regional Polls and Leader Perception in Valencia Election Preview

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Regional Election Polls and Leader Ratings in Valencia

An internal march survey among Socialists suggested PSPV would win the 28M regional elections with a four-point edge over PPCV. The study highlighted Ximo Puig as the most valued candidate, though it does not assign seats because it lacked a regional distribution of results. Voting intent showed 31.3% for PSPV, 27.7% for PP, and Compromís at 7.5%, signaling a competitive landscape heading into the vote.

The survey was conducted before an alliance between Podemos and Esquerra Unida, so the results treated those groups separately. Morlar received about 4% of voting support, while EU stood at roughly 0.3%. Vox registered around 4.7% and Ciudadanos hovered near 1% with a 0.9% share.

When voting intent is combined with political sympathy, the left bloc appears close to securing a majority. The estimate places the left at roughly 48.5% of the vote, with Podem and EU breaking the 5% threshold. On the right, PP and Vox together would sit at about 34.6%, signaling a tight contest between the two blocs as the election approaches.

Leader evaluation shows Puig maintaining a clear lead in popularity among the public, with 39% preference ahead of Mazón at 19.4%, Baldoví at 8.6%, Flores at 2.7%, Illueca at 2.5%, and Peris at 0.7%. Awareness of Puig is high, with about 94.4% of respondents recognizing him. Following him in recognition are Baldoví at 50.4%, Mazón at 46.1%, Peris at 13.4%, Illueca at 13.3%, and Flores at 11.9%, reflecting a broad public footprint for the major figures ahead of the vote.

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