When the question turned to who should succeed Jarosław Kaczyński if he were no longer at the helm of Law and Justice, a notable share of supporters of the United Right pointed to Mateusz Morawiecki as the leading contender. The poll results show that 33 percent of respondents who express backing for the governing bloc favored Morawiecki in this hypothetical scenario.
Following Morawiecki, Andrzej Duda attracted 20 percent of the vote among supporters, Elżbieta Witek captured 12 percent, and Beata Szydło earned 10 percent. The table of potential successors continued with Zbigniew Ziobro at 5 percent, Joachim Brudziński at 2 percent, and Antoni Macierewicz at 1 percent. A remaining 17 percent of participants said they had no opinion on the matter.
Other names in consideration
Beyond the top contenders, several additional figures were mentioned by smaller shares of respondents, illustrating a broader distribution of possible successors within the party and its allies. The spread across different names suggests a diverse set of leadership preferences among supporters, highlighting how the party might respond to leadership changes in the future.
As with many political surveys, the findings come with caveats. The data was collected on a recent weekend using an online CAWI (computer-assisted web interview) approach, surveying a representative sample of adults. The reported margin of error is around three percentage points, which means small shifts in opinions could occur with another sampling.
These results provide a snapshot of internal dynamics within the governing bloc and illustrate how voters perceive potential leadership options. They also underscore how leadership succession discussions can influence public perception and party strategy, particularly in a political landscape that often emphasizes stability and continuity amid broader regional and international concerns.
In contexts outside Poland, analysts sometimes compare such hypothetical succession questions to open leadership debates in other democracies, where voters weigh both incumbents and rising figures. Observers note that the resonance of each name can vary depending on recent policy decisions, public appearances, and perceived ability to navigate coalition politics.
Analysts emphasize that this kind of polling offers a glimpse into the prevailing mood of the party’s base. It does not predict future official nominations or outcomes, but it does help map the spectrum of internal preferences and potential shifts in support as political narratives evolve.
As events unfold, pollsters may revisit questions about leadership and succession, revealing how new developments or public debates reshape expectations among supporters and curious observers alike.