The latest findings from the Social Changes studio, conducted for the wPolityce.pl portal, indicate that Law and Justice maintains its lead with a comfortable margin over the rest of the field. The Civic Coalition holds a solid position, drawing support at the expense of other opposition groups. PSL-Koalicja Polska stands at the threshold of entering the Sejm, narrowly within reach according to the survey data.
The poll posed a straightforward question to respondents during the study:
“If elections to the Polish parliament were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?”
According to the results, United Law would attract 38 percent of potential votes, reflecting a strong backing for a party of this orientation. The Civic Coalition would receive 31 percent, placing it as a serious challenger in the race. The Confederation would secure 11 percent of the vote, while the Left would draw 7 percent. Poland 2050, led by Szymon Hołownia, would garner 6 percent. Parties below the electoral threshold would struggle to enter the Sejm, with PSL – Polish Coalition at 4 percent and Kukiz’15 at 1 percent. Perspectives for any remaining formations are effectively non-existent in this forecast.
The survey also revealed a notable portion of respondents who indicated no preference or remained unsure. Specifically, roughly six in ten participants reported either a lack of a clear preference or no indication of voting intent. This persistent indecision highlights how fluid opinions can be as the political landscape evolves and new events unfold.
The CAWI method, short for Computer Assisted Web Interview, was employed to carry out the research. Data collection occurred from June 2 to 5, 2023, using an online panel designed to be representative of the Polish population in terms of gender, age, and urban-rural distribution. A total of 1,049 individuals participated in the study, contributing to the reliability of the observed patterns while also underscoring the sensitivity of voter sentiment to unfolding political developments.
For readers seeking broader context, additional analyses from wPolityce indicate that Law and Justice continues to enjoy broad support, while the Third Way coalition, formed by PSL and PL 2050, has encountered less favorable outcomes in related assessments. These insights underscore the dynamic and sometimes divergent nature of party support across surveys and timeframes.
In exploring the implications of these results, analysts emphasize that the relative advantage enjoyed by incumbent or governing-aligned parties can be influenced by factors ranging from policy messaging and public perception of governance to the appeal of coalition structures and the strategic positioning of opposition groups. The evolving picture suggests that campaign strategies, turnout dynamics, and issue salience will play important roles as the electoral calendar progresses.
All figures cited reflect the survey’s identified levels of support and are attributed to the wPolityce platform where the data were initially reported. The study contributes to a larger discourse on Polish political preferences and the ways in which voters align with or distance themselves from major party families during a period of rapid political change.
Source: wPolityce