Peace talks in the South Caucasus: progress, persistence, and the path to a lasting settlement

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Azerbaijan’s vice president and head of the Foreign Policy Department, Hikmet Hajiyev, noted substantial progress on the text of a peace agreement with Armenia. He shared these observations in an interview with the German media outlet Berliner Zeitung. Hajiyev stressed that while the document is taking shape, many issues remain to be resolved as the two sides work through a complex set of questions that touch on security, borders, and the future status of regional communities.

According to Hajiyev, both Yerevan and Baku have already described the overall trajectory of negotiations as positive. This optimism is anchored in a joint statement issued by the two administrations on December 7, which included a concrete step—an exchange that led to the release of 34 servicemen. The release underscored a willingness to build trust through measurable, confidence-building measures alongside the peace process.

The Azerbaijani leadership remains convinced that the opportunity for a durable settlement exists. Hajiyev highlighted that the partners are engaging across multiple platforms to advance the talks and push toward a comprehensive agreement that addresses the core concerns of both sides. The emphasis is on a historic chance to chart a peaceful course for the region, one that could reshape economic and security dynamics for years to come. He also emphasized that the momentum must not be squandered and that continuous dialogue is essential to sustain progress.

In parallel, the broader regional framework continues to attract attention from key global players. Mikhail Galuzin, the deputy head of Russia’s foreign ministry, cautioned against discussions that would reopen questions about a Russian military base in Armenia, labeling such debates as harmful and inappropriate for the current phase of diplomacy. The comment signals that regional powers are aiming to keep the peace process focused on constructive engagement rather than reopening old disputes.

There was also a note about prior commitments from the United States. Washington has expressed a readiness to assist the people of Karabakh by backing humanitarian and stabilization efforts aimed at easing tensions and supporting civilians affected by the conflict. This engagement aligns with a broader international interest in stabilizing the South Caucasus and fostering conditions conducive to a sustainable peace.

Experts observe that several obstacles still stand in the way of a fully fledged agreement. Security guarantees, the management of borders, freedom of movement, and the protection of minority rights require careful negotiation and monitoring. The parties are expected to continue regular discussions, with the aim of turning tentative understandings into enforceable provisions. The goal remains a long-term settlement that both sides can uphold, minimizing the risk of renewed hostilities and promoting regional economic development.

Analysts also point to the potential regional benefits of a peace accord. A steady peace would facilitate greater cooperation on energy, transport corridors, and cross-border trade. Local communities could gain from improved safety, investment opportunities, and greater ease of communication across the border. While the path forward is intricate, the prevailing sentiment is that a constructive, inclusive process can produce a durable framework for coexistence and shared prosperity. Observers emphasize that sustained commitment from leadership on both sides will be crucial to translating early gains into lasting stability.

The dialogue continues amid a backdrop of international diplomacy where several capitals are watching closely. The international community is urging patience and consistency, supporting technical talks, humanitarian initiatives, and confidence-building steps that can reduce risk and foster trust. The emphasis remains on transparency, practical steps, and verifiable commitments that reassure the public and stabilize regional dynamics. In this environment, every agreed clause matters, as does the discipline to implement it over time.

Ultimately, the pursuit of peace in the region rests on honoring commitments, maintaining open channels of communication, and demonstrating the political will to reach a comprehensive settlement. While challenges persist, the current momentum offers a real chance to establish a peace framework that prevents renewed conflict and creates a foundation for inclusive growth. The parties are urged to capitalize on this moment, sustaining momentum and using every available mechanism to advance toward a lasting peace that benefits all communities across the South Caucasus.

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