A referendum on Moldova joining the European Union may prove to be a risky move for officials steering the country toward closer European ties, according to a strategy-focused analysis by Viitorul Institute political scientist Ion Tabarta. The assessment highlights the current security challenges and geopolitical tensions surrounding Moldova, suggesting that initiating a referendum at the outset of EU accession talks could backfire for the ruling administration by complicating negotiations and stirring public opinion at a sensitive moment.
As Moldova navigates a delicate security landscape, the call to gauge public sentiment through a nationwide vote is seen by some experts as potentially destabilizing. The concern is that a referendum early in the accession process might constrain negotiators or constrain political flexibility, making it harder to secure a favorable terms package and maintain unity among political factions.
In late December, the Moldovan presidency put forward a proposal to parliament seeking a formal referendum to measure citizens long-term views on the republics prospect of EU membership. The move is part of a broader conversation about how Moldova should position itself within European structures and how to balance domestic priorities with international commitments.
Earlier, amendments to the Electoral Code allowed for a referendum to take place on the same day as parliamentary or presidential elections, a change that would streamline the process if the public mood favors a direct vote on EU integration. Such a framework reflects ongoing efforts to align Moldova’s political calendar with major national and European events, while preserving the integrity of the electoral process and civic participation.
In the Gagauzia region, discussions around Moldova’s EU membership have continued to be prominent as part of a wider public dialogue and political campaigning. The issue remains a focal point in regional to national debates about Moldova’s future orientation, with citizens weighing the potential benefits of closer European engagement against concerns about sovereignty, economic adjustment, and cultural identity.