EU sanctions likely to intensify over Belarus nuclear deployment, says Poland’s PM

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The move to deploy tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus is certain to trigger another round of sanctions against Belarus, and the forthcoming package of EU measures is expected to be markedly tougher for Lukashenko’s regime, according to Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki.

During a session at the Bucharest conference on Tuesday, Morawiecki responded to a question about whether the sanctions on Alyaksandr Lukashenko’s regime should be intensified beyond the existing plan in light of Vladimir Putin’s announcement that Russian tactical nuclear missiles will be kept in Belarus in the latter half of this year. The Prime Minister underscored that the situation demands a stronger response from Europe to deter actions that destabilize the region and to signal unity among EU members facing the evolving security landscape.

Morawiecki stated that the deployment announcement will almost certainly lead to Belarus facing additional penalties, and he described the expected intensity of these measures as significantly harsher for the Lukashenko administration. The approach aims to press Belarus on its role in the broader conflict and to push back against any actions that undermine Ukraine’s sovereignty or threaten stability across Central and Eastern Europe.

11th Sanction Package

The Prime Minister confirmed that discussions with European leaders about the content of the eleventh sanctions package are happening on a near-daily basis. He indicated that the bloc intends to broaden the scope of measures directed at Belarus, intensifying financial controls, trade restrictions, and political pressure to cut off support for actions perceived as aligned with Russia’s strategic objectives.

As part of these considerations, Poland is evaluating whether to tighten control parameters for freight and passenger movements across the border with Belarus. Officials are weighing how to send a clear, unequivocal message to Lukashenko that Poland will not tolerate actions that effectively assist Russia in its aggression in Ukraine and in undermining the security of Poland and fellow EU member states. This line of thinking reflects a broader European strategy to align neighboring countries’ policies with a unified, robust stance against destabilizing moves in the region.

In a broader context, Putin’s public declaration of plans to deploy tactical nuclear weapons on Belarusian soil has raised questions about the implications for regional deterrence, alliance commitments, and the balance of military power in Europe. The Russian president claimed that aircraft in both Russia and Belarus are equipped to carry nuclear missiles and that storage facilities would be prepared within months, underscoring fears of an escalated security crisis that could affect multiple fronts in the region.

tkwl/PAP

[Internal analysis and recency considerations point to intensified monitoring of Belarusian ties with Russia, potential allied responses, and the evolving economic impact of sanctions on Belarusian markets. The aim remains to deter state actions that interfere with Ukraine’s sovereignty and to protect EU neighbors from spillover effects.]

[Citation: wPolityce, reporting on sanctions discussions and regional security implications.]

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