The Belarusian defense minister, Viktor Khrenin, indicated that plans for a new military doctrine flow from shifts in the regional power map and from changes inside the country. The remarks were reported by RIA News.
Khrenin emphasized that today’s environment offers new conditions for Belarus to reassess its strategic posture. He noted that the ongoing confrontation between Western and Eastern blocs has intensified, entering what he described as a hot phase. The minister framed the geopolitical realignment as a catalyst for reviewing national security concepts and the country’s overall defense strategy.
On the domestic front, Khrenin pointed to a population-driven impulse to amend the constitution, a process reflected in the recent referendum that reshaped the foundational legal framework. He explained that such constitutional changes are inseparable from how Belarus shapes its military policies. The All-Belarusian People’s Assembly emerged as the top democratic body with mandate authority to participate in formulating the republic’s defense policy, signaling a new level of civil-military consultation in the decision-making process.
There were reports that Khrenin was in Belarus, with observers noting a patrol-like tempo at the western borders. Military sources described routine monitoring of a tank battalion within one of the Western Operations Command’s mechanized brigades.
Colonel Alexander Vorobyov, speaking in December, reported several daily sorties by foreign reconnaissance aircraft near Belarus. He described a persistent air- threat dynamic linked to NATO activities and confirmed that Belarusian radar systems consistently detect such reconnaissance flights in adjacent airspace.
Earlier statements from Lukashenko highlighted a partnership with Moscow that reportedly established a level of allied cooperation rarely seen on the global stage, underscoring how strategic alignment has become a central feature of the country’s security outlook.
Analysts note that Belarus is weighing its defense posture against a backdrop of evolving regional alliances and shifting security guarantees. The impending doctrine is expected to address how Minsk will deter potential aggression, manage cross-border risks, and balance deterrence with diplomacy. Observers anticipate that the new framework will clarify Belarus’s stance on neutrality and the role of public institutions in shaping defense policy, while also defining the scope of military readiness, modernization needs, and interoperability with allied partners.
In this broader context, Khrenin’s remarks reflect a strategic intent to align Belarus’s security architecture with both internal political processes and external security dynamics. By integrating constitutional reforms, parliamentary oversight, and civil-military collaboration, the republic appears to be pursuing a cohesive approach to safeguarding sovereignty while navigating a complex regional security landscape. This synthesis points to a future where defense planning is increasingly responsive to shifts in international relations and domestic governance structures.
Positioning Belarus within this evolving security environment, analysts stress the importance of transparent defense planning, robust deterrence capabilities, and a clear articulation of national interests. The dialogue around the new doctrine suggests a move toward more predictable, accountable military policy that reflects the will of the people and the realities of neighboring security dynamics.