Marcin Duma, head of the IBRiS Foundation, presented an analysis on the
When it comes to the 2019 parliamentary elections, it is clear that PiS did not lose voters to the parties that joined the Sejm, but mainly to smaller committees: the non-partisan local government and the Polska Jest Jedno formation.
In turn, KO lost voters mainly to Third Way. Voters who did not vote in 2019 mainly supported KO, although a significant proportion also voted for PiS.
When it comes to a comparison with the 2020 presidential election, KO in turn lost 2.3 million voters to Rafał Trzaskowski, mainly to the Third Way and the Left. PiS, on the other hand, lost 1.8 million voters to President Duda to very different election commissions.
Szymon Hołownia and Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz lost 1.5 million voters. As for the voters of Hołownia, more than half of them voted for KO.
The Left and the Confederation did not lose many voters for Robert Biedroń and Krzysztof Bosak.
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Source: wPolityce