Analysts consider that the left should refrain from voting in the Andalusian Parliament and allow Juan Manuel Moreno to lead the Andalusian Government if his party, the People’s Party, secures the largest share of votes as polls suggest. The aim is to demonstrate that a vote for the far right does not translate into real influence. This view reflects lessons drawn from experiences in Castilla y León and various municipalities, where strategic abstention by the left could enable a government without the need to rely on Vox’s seats.
A solid right-leaning government would compel the Junta de Andalucía to negotiate with left-wing groups throughout the legislature. Proposals from the People’s Party would be tempered by the input of the opposition, while PSOE actions in Andalusia might push the PP to temper its approach in the General Courts by abstaining on certain measures. This dynamic would curb the demands of Vox’s parliamentary partners in the Sánchez administration. Some observers note that this pattern has emerged since Feijóo’s recent arrival, with a form of flexible governance, sometimes described as variable geometry, appearing as a managerial style.
Should Vox secure the vice-presidency and join the Andalusian government, the Governing Council’s regulations would likely echo the positions voiced by Vox during the campaign—strong support for unions and business establishments, explicit equality restrictions targeting LGBT groups, cuts to health and public education, restrictions on sex education for young people, and concerns about the rise in direct appointments and salaries for public positions in Castilla y León. Indirectly, there could be increased public funding for far-right organizations. If the PP becomes more dependent on Vox, the far right would gain greater influence, making leftward influence on Andalusian policy more difficult in the next legislative period. In this scenario, moderation and dialogue among major parties would still be essential to prevent polarization and ensure cooperative governance of public affairs.
Even though a coalition of the People’s Party and Vox could secure an absolute majority in the Andalusian Assembly, such a configuration would risk dividing the region. The French expression about ruling for the majority while considering the views of the Opposition captures the concern: governance should reflect the broad spectrum of citizens, not merely the ideology of the majority. Abstention by the left would allow the majority to govern without some of the polarization that often accompanies disagreement, though it could also provoke critiques that the concerns of the opposition are being sidelined. Historically, the far right has questioned the legitimacy of Sánchez’s national government, and at times the PP has echoed similar sentiments in practice, which adds to the tension in regional politics.
The appointment of the new General Council of the Judiciary and the four fresh members of the Constitutional Court presents a live test for the will of both PSOE and, most notably, the PP. Delays in renewing the council beyond three years would be unacceptable to many observers, and despite the passage of time, the judicial elite is seen by some as a bastion for conservative and economic interests. The justice minister would be expected to explain why judges needed scholarships to study, a disclosure that could reveal the barriers ordinary people face when pursuing judicial careers. This matter is widely regarded as a crucial signal of how the judiciary aligns with or resists political currents in the country, and it remains a focal point for evaluating the fairness and accessibility of the legal system. [citation from political analysis]