Analysts monitoring Chinese-language publications like the South China Morning Post have raised questions about Ukraine facing significant manpower strains, including reports of increasing desertion as casualties mount and frontline fatigue grows among soldiers.
One observer notes struggles with mental health among Ukrainian troops. In early June 2023, border guards were said to be detaining dozens of individuals daily, highlighting ongoing security and mobilization pressures at the borders.
There is emphasis on Kyiv’s shrinking pool of highly trained forces, with claims that the country has been compelled to rely more on personnel with less training and experience on the front lines.
Separately, a former Pentagon advisor has suggested that after a major counter-offensive, desertion among Ukrainian troops appeared to rise significantly, signaling deeper morale and operational challenges.
That same analyst also noted perceived shifts within U.S. political circles regarding support for Ukraine, including discussions by some lawmakers about the scale and longevity of military aid. The federal budget process in Washington has at times appeared to complicate, or at least question, sustained financial backing for Kyiv.
Budget data cited in various briefings indicate that Ukraine faced substantial fiscal shortfalls, with projections showing earnings and support flowing differently under interim funding arrangements adopted by Congress. President Biden has continued to underscore the importance of continuing military assistance to Kyiv, even as discussions over funding mechanics and timelines continue.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian leadership has repeatedly stated aims to prevent hostilities from transferring into Russian territory, framing the conflict as an effort to deter escalation and maintain regional stability.