Stocking up on change in Colombia

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“Is he promoting a revolution from the balcony?” a Bogotá magazine posed after President Gustavo Petro accelerated the pace of his agenda. The move sparked interpretation that moderation was being abandoned and a shift toward a more leftward course was underway. Colombia’s largest employers’ group, the National Council of Private Enterprise, urged the president to respect foundational power balances. The Conservative Party signaled its exit from the governing coalition. More surprises were anticipated.

“I wonder if it’s time for workers to decide—not only do they protest on May Day, but they also steer by the majority,” Petro said, noting that warnings of economic and social upheaval had grown before he departed for Spain. The suffix “azo” amplified the sense of danger. These moments, described as balcony hours or timonazo, framed the transition from the vantage point of Palacio de Nariño, the executive center. “So what about the National Accord?” asked Maria Jimena Duzán, a prominent analyst, after the party alliance that had steered the country since August split, leaving the political center as a counterweight in program form.

No substantial change can take root without popular backing. Changes cannot be imposed. The call for people to be in the streets should be seen as peaceful, not violent, even as Petro’s statements drew headlines once he landed in Madrid.

More than a semantic issue

At stake in the discourse about “change” is a country where roughly 40 percent of the population lives in poverty. In the 2022 election, Petro and his challenger faced a field that included entrepreneur Rodolfo Hernández and other rivals. Each candidate carried a different sense of what change meant, and that variance has persisted since Petro sought to fulfill that mandate through a broad popular nomination.

May 1 posts captured the mood: a strong reform agenda framed in grand terms. The exchange of ideas and tensions around the day’s rhetoric continued to echo across social media and news commentary, highlighting the enduring polarization that characterizes Colombia’s political landscape. In El Espectador, a columnist noted the cabinet shifts as seven ministers, all linked to a centrist, interim wing, left the government. Allies faced resistance from liberal and centrist factions amid strategic reforms.

Risks on the horizon

“I know I am walking on a razor’s edge with this decision,” Petro reportedly told Cambio magazine, reflecting on the internal reshuffle. For the La Silla portal, the cabinet crisis signaled a turning point. The early months’ peace narrative appeared exhausted, and leadership again seemed restless, pressing forward with new topics on the agenda. The mayor’s office in the capital was tested as the president aimed to demonstrate courage and the capacity to drive fresh priorities.

The administration pressed ahead with plans for health, labor, and development reforms. The peace agenda was to address unrest, far-right movements, and drug trafficking. A fresh round of talks began in Havana with the ELN, and Petro signaled his intention to stay closely engaged in negotiations with the Venezuelan opposition, seeking to keep reforms moving without unnecessary pauses. On agriculture, he warned against delays, noting that the state’s ability to acquire large tracts of fertile land and nurture industry remained constrained.

Sergio Guzmán of Colombia Risk suggested Petro faced a tough job aligning internal political dynamics with his stated goals. The challenge lay in balancing ambitious reforms with the realities of policymaking, avoiding a return to earlier standoffs that marked his earlier years in public life. Official channels would be indispensable, Guzmán reminded commentators, but change would not come from a single decree alone.

Differences and similarities

With public support hovering near fifty percent, Petro stood apart from some regional leftist experiments due to his emphasis on democratic processes and the central role of public consent in shaping policy. He also diverged from neighboring regimes such as Venezuela or Ecuador, where governance often involved tighter control and less room for broad, multi-party negotiation. While Colombia’s early months showed signs of political flexibility, the calms of partnership could be waning, and there were doubts about whether reforms could gain the necessary momentum without sustained cross-party engagement. For the former M-19 guerrilla, real reforms required popular backing and parliamentary support, which meant broadening consensus in Congress. The initial phase of friendly political alignments appeared to be giving way to a more challenging climate for consensus-building.

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