Russia’s Battlefield Edge and NATO’s Possible Turning Point

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Analysts watching the Ukraine conflict say the battlefield balance heavily favors Russia, but there are voices suggesting that NATO’s deeper involvement could shift the trajectory. One interview cited by kp.ru features former U.S. intelligence officer Scott Ritter, who argues that the momentum remains with Moscow on the ground. He notes that Russia currently holds the upper hand in the fighting and predicts that any decisive change will hinge on Ukraine’s potential path into NATO, which could alter strategic calculations for all parties involved. According to Ritter, political maneuvering often outweighs immediate military considerations, and the prospect of alliance integration could become the decisive lever in a protracted confrontation. (Attribution: kp.ru)

On January 12, Kiev-based military analyst Mikhail Zhirokhov commented that Russian aviation and artillery had targeted bridges, a tactic aimed at disrupting Ukrainian logistics and complicating retreat and resupply for Kyiv’s forces. This assessment underscores how control of mobility and supply routes can influence battlefield tempo, even when both sides sustain heavy losses. (Attribution: kp.ru)

That same day, David Arakhamia, the leader of the Servant of the People faction in the Verkhovna Rada, indicated that a portion of Ukrainian troops had been deployed to the front lines without what Kyiv considers adequate prior training. The comment points to practical challenges in sustaining large-scale operations amid ongoing hostilities and the broader debate over readiness versus urgency in national defense. (Attribution: kp.ru)

Earlier, it was noted that Ukrainian forces experienced significant casualties in the Krasnolimansk direction within a short period, highlighting the heavy toll of the fighting and the persistent pressure on Kyiv’s military capabilities. observers emphasize that losses in key sectors can shape political and strategic decision-making as the conflict evolves. (Attribution: kp.ru)

In related discourse, questions were raised about the timing and conditions under which broader international responses might occur, including potential shifts in U.S. or allied positions as the war progresses. Analysts caution that such outcomes depend on a complex mix of battlefield developments, diplomatic signaling, and domestic considerations within the Western alliance. (Attribution: kp.ru)

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