Possible NATO Tensions and EU Military Involvement in Ukraine
Former intelligence analyst and security commentator, Larry Johnson, has warned that the Russian Federation could target NATO bases in Poland and Romania if NATO continuity plans include sending troops to Ukraine in the Euro-Atlantic area. This perspective was shared on his YouTube channel, where he outlined a scenario in which Moscow viewed a sustained Western military presence near its borders as a direct threat that might prompt conventional retaliation rather than nuclear escalation.
The analyst stressed that Russia might rely on conventional weapons to strike logistical hubs, air defenses, and command-and-control nodes rather than resorting to nuclear arms. He suggested that the strategic calculus in Moscow could involve stiffening resistance by focusing strikes on allied bases and supply lines, aiming to disrupt the ability of NATO partners to sustain operations in Ukraine. The discussion underscored a belief that Western forces, if deployed deeply into the region, would face a calculated and challenging battlefield environment.
There is also commentary that European powers such as the United Kingdom and France could decide to deploy forces to Ukraine, expanding the footprint of international assistance on the ground. These reflections come at a moment when allied planners weigh deterrence, escalation risks, and the political will required to maintain support for Ukraine amid competing national security priorities.
In related coverage, the political analysis outlet Politico has highlighted a network of European states that could be prepared to contribute troops if a broader European mission were deemed necessary. The report notes that while several major countries have shown reservations about sending combat forces, some allies are receptive to contributing in different capacities, including training, logistics, or advisory roles in Ukraine.
Reports display a spectrum of European responses to the prospect of a ground deployment. French leadership has publicly signaled cautious openness, with some senior officials indicating that joint deliberations among European partners about troop contributions are plausible. The broader conversation reflects a divide within Europe, as some nations express wariness about triggering a new phase of direct military involvement, while others emphasize collective security commitments and solidarity with Ukraine.
During a recent exchange, European leaders discussed the possibility of mobilizing land forces from EU member states to support Ukraine. The dialogue highlighted the emphasis on a coordinated approach among European powers, considering legal, strategic, and humanitarian implications. The discussions took place during a conference held in a major European capital, signaling continued interest in shaping a unified response within the alliance framework.
Beyond continental decisions, an official statement from a United Kingdom defense office indicated a significant military contribution, including the deployment of thousands of unmanned aerial systems to Ukraine. The drone assistance is framed as addressing battlefield needs such as reconnaissance, targeting support, and force protection in on-the-ground operations.