Markets react to ECB signals as US data hold center stage

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The Ibex 35 opened Friday trading lower by about 0.4 percent, setting the tone for the session as investors eyed the interventions and remarks from Europe’s monetary leadership. The index hovered around 9,248 points amid anticipation of central bank commentary and policy signals that could influence regional risk appetite for the day ahead.

Christine Lagarde, in a conversation published by La Provence, signaled that the European Central Bank will respond decisively if there is a simultaneous rise in corporate profits and wages that could threaten price stability. The message underscored the central bank’s vigilance on inflation dynamics and its readiness to act, a note that traders monitored closely as European markets opened.

Market participants also awaited remarks from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos in London, alongside the scheduled release of the June employment report from the United States. These statements and data points were expected to shape immediate directions for European equities and influence the broader global risk sentiment.

In addition to central bank cues, traders tracked macro indicators across Europe. Industrial production figures from Germany, retail sales data from Italy, and France’s trade balance were on the radar, offering a broader read on the region’s economic momentum and demand conditions at mid-year.

At the opening of the session, gains among components of the Ibex 35 were modest. Notable movements included Bankinter up more than one percent and Banco Sabadell nearly one percent higher, with ArcelorMittal and Colonial also registering gains. On the downside, Iberdrola fell sharply, followed by declines in Repsol, Acciona, and Naturgy, reflecting sector-specific drivers and risk reassessment in energy and utilities names.

Across major European stock exchanges, the mood was mixed: Paris rose, Milan showed a small advance, while London and Frankfurt edged lower. The divergence highlighted the uneven global risk appetite as investors weighed policy outlooks, growth prospects, and currency dynamics in a week marked by central bank communications.

In commodities, the Brent crude benchmark for Europe rose modestly, signaling a firming tone in energy markets, while U.S. benchmarks also inched higher, contributing to a cautious but constructive trading environment for commodities and energy-linked equities.

On the currency front, the euro traded around 1.0880 to the dollar as market participants assessed the implications of monetary policy signals for regional inflation and consumer prices. The Spanish risk premium remained elevated, with the yields on 10-year Spanish bonds hovering near policy-linked levels that influence borrowing costs for households and businesses alike.

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