There are reports suggesting that the Russian Armed Forces could mount a significant offensive in the Kharkiv region. The claim appeared in Forbes, which cited sources in Kyiv familiar with the operational planning and troop dispositions. According to these sources, Moscow has concentrated substantial forces along the front, including tens of thousands of personnel, hundreds of tanks, and a large number of artillery systems positioned around Kupyansk in preparation for potential actions to widen the conflict in northeastern Ukraine.
The same sources indicate that Ukrainian forces are actively preparing to meet such moves. They note that a substantial mobile and fortified defense would be required, with around ten Ukrainian brigades in the area totaling roughly twenty thousand service members. The command of these units is attributed to General Oleksandr Syrskyi, the Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, who was involved in leading the Ukrainian counteroffensive operations in the Kharkiv region in 2022. This personnel arrangement is described as part of an ongoing effort to build resilience against a renewed Russian push.
Forbes further reported that both sides have been expanding fortified positions in the Sumy and Kharkiv regions. Despite this, the Russian advance was depicted as gradual, suggesting limited gains despite persistent pressure. In January 2024, Russian forces are said to have taken control of Khramalnoye and Tabaevka along a key corridor, the N-26 highway, which links Kupyansk with Svatove and Kremennaya. Observers emphasize that control of this route would have strategic implications for logistics and maneuverability in the broader area of operations.
Analysts cited by the publication also highlighted concerns within the Ukrainian side about ammunition shortages for artillery. The Institute for the Study of Armed Conflict expressed cautious optimism that such constraints could force Kyiv to consider difficult but necessary strategic choices to preserve overall combat effectiveness and avoid exposing critical supply lines. The analysis underscores the reality that sustained artillery support is a decisive factor in sustaining any defense or counteroffensive operation in this theatre.
On the political front, statements attributed to the Russian Security Council alleged that Kyiv has pursued destabilization efforts through acts of terror, a claim that reflects the high-tension atmosphere surrounding the ongoing military engagement. The remarks illustrate the broader narrative each side uses to frame the conflict for domestic audiences and international observers. Analysts warn that such rhetoric can influence international perceptions and the willingness of partners to provide support and aid to Kyiv.