For several weeks, meteorologists have been discussing a summer that could be a touch rainier than usual. The news is welcomed by many in a country currently facing persistent drought, and it has sparked a lot of interest. Meteorologist Roberto Brasero recently shared this forecast, but there are now many other experts weighing in on what the warmer months might bring. How rainy can this summer really be?
As Mar Gómez notes on the eltiempo.es portal, forecasts indicate that the summer will run hot in the country, with some variation in rainfall. A few weeks ago, the expectation was for a normal amount of rain, yet now the late summer and early autumn could bring a touch more rain than is typical.
It is understood that rainfall in Spain can vary widely between regions and from year to year, but generally the summer climate tends to be hot and dry.
According to the latest projections highlighted by Mar Gómez, the June through August period could see slightly above normal precipitation in the Mediterranean and the Canary Islands, although this is still a dry season overall and substantial rainfall is not anticipated.
It will continue to rain in the coming days.
And while there is some uncertainty with long term forecasts, experts believe rain might cover more regions in the latter part of summer and the early part of autumn. The European model suggests that this rainfall could be modestly above average in the eastern peninsula and the Balearic Islands, potentially spreading into additional territories by early autumn.
Rains this week in Andalusia and Levante
Forecasts for next week indicate temperatures several degrees below typical values for this time of year. In other words, a cool spell will persist in most capitals and not exceed about 25ºC.
As the peninsula sees a southern shift in weather patterns, a disturbance could bring occasional heavier downpours. Other areas in the southeast, such as Andalusia and the Region of Murcia or the southern Valencia region, may experience the heaviest rainfall. Observers note that these periods of rain could be accompanied by hail in some parts of the country.
The current outlook points to a mixture of heat and rain, with regional variability likely to persist and influence local conditions well into the late summer and early autumn. The overall message from meteorologists is that while the rainfall may not be widespread or heavy everywhere, several regions should anticipate wetter spells alongside the usual dry, hot days that define the season.
In short, the pattern appears to be this: a hot, dry core in the middle of summer with pockets of higher rainfall in the east and more moisture near the southern and southeastern coasts. This combination means residents and travelers alike should stay prepared for shifting conditions—short, sharp showers in some areas and longer deluges in others. The evolving forecast underscores the importance of region-specific updates, as local climates can diverge significantly even within the same country.
Overall, the season is shaping up to be a summer of contrasts: heat that pushes high temperatures, coupled with rain events that break dry spells without turning the season into a rainy one. For those planning outdoor activities or travel, keeping an eye on daily advisories will be essential to navigate the changing sky this summer and into early autumn.