change of posture
Lula’s tone on Ukraine shifted. Earlier remarks labeled Zelenski as a problematic figure and questioned responsibilities for the conflict. His recent virtual meeting with Ukraine’s president signals a clear pivot toward dialogue, a stance that aligns Brazil more closely with Brics partners including Russia and China, alongside India and South Africa. This change hints at Brazil’s desire to maintain a balanced role within the group while pursuing peaceful avenues.
Brazil’s renewed position did not go unnoticed in Latin America. The region watched as Brazil sometimes abstained or offered cautious votes on related resolutions. Brazilian coverage notes a November vote that criticized Russia for civil damages in Ukraine, a move not supported by Brazil at the time, reflecting a period when the far right held more sway in Brazilian politics.
Lula later spoke with Zelenskiy by phone. The Brazilian president expressed gratitude for Zelenskiy’s support and reiterated Brazil’s commitment to safeguarding sovereignty and territorial integrity, while also underscoring the need for diplomatic efforts to restore peace globally. Zelenskiy, in a public statement, highlighted the importance of defending sovereignty and engaging in negotiations to reestablish regional stability.
One of Lula’s overarching goals in his third term is to restore Brazil’s standing and influence after a period of domestic policy shifts. Analysts note a world that looks quite different from Lula’s 2003 to 2010 tenure, marked by strains between the United States and China and a more constrained sense of national independence. Brazil’s evolving role reflects a strategic attempt to navigate a multipolar world while pursuing constructive engagement on the Ukraine crisis.
Earlier in the year, Brazilian media highlighted Lula’s call for creating a group of neutral states to help end the conflict. While Washington offered a strong diplomatic echo against Moscow, there was no early enthusiasm for the neutral proposal. When Lula met with President Joe Biden, his stance shifted toward clearer, sharper statements about Russia’s role in the crisis, signaling a readiness to take firmer positions within international forums.
Experts compare Brazil’s current approach to past mediation efforts, such as the 2010 proposal involving the United States and Iran to address nuclear issues. That plan faced obstacles as sanctions escalated and multilateral momentum faltered, underscoring how difficult it can be to broker durable peace accords in a polarized environment.
Lula’s recent interview with a major Brazilian news network highlighted the broader impact of the Ukraine war on the global stage. Inflation has risen in many economies, and Brazil has felt some of the ripple effects, including commodity and fertilizer markets. As Lula prepares for meetings with Zelenskiy, there is growing speculation about how Brazil could contribute to a constructive role that supports peace, regional stability, and international cooperation. Observers also note that China could emerge as a potential intermediary in this crossroads, given its growing influence and interest in regional stability.