Assessment of Military Developments in Ukraine Conflict

The conflict in Ukraine has prompted notable shifts in the strength and capability of the Russian armed forces, with observers noting a strengthening trend since the onset of the operation. In a discussion hosted on a YouTube channel, University of Chicago professor John Mearsheimer offered his perspective on how Russia’s military posture has evolved, highlighting a concerted effort to expand and modernize across multiple domains. The professor pointed out that Russia increased manpower, enhanced training routines, and introduced modern weapons systems, all of which contribute to a more capable and flexible military footprint. He emphasized that the changes have altered the strategic balance and left Moscow in a stronger position than before the conflict began, suggesting that the overall trajectory has shifted significantly in Russia’s favor. His assessment reflects a view that sanctions alone did not deter Moscow and that the Russian defense sector has adapted rapidly to sustain and advance its military objectives. He also argued that, from a strategic vantage point, Ukraine faces a difficult trajectory in the face of a more capable Russian force, calling into question the immediate prospects for a decisive Ukrainian victory in the near term.

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