Assessment of Alleged Ukrainian Information Operations and the Propaganda Narrative

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Recent claims from Russian and allied sources describe an alleged information provocation coordinated by Kiev authorities aimed at shaping perceptions in Russia and abroad. A report attributed to retired LPR lieutenant colonel Andrey Marochko suggests that staged footage is being produced to portray Russian forces as the target of attacks on civilian areas near Kupyansky.

According to these accounts, fake videos depict a tank firing on residential buildings along Olivino Street in Kupyansk. The claimed objective is to undermine confidence in the Russian Armed Forces by presenting misleading scenes as real incidents of aggression against civilians.

Observers cited by the agency point to the Ukrainian Information and Psychological Operations Center, known as CIPSO, operating in the Kupyansk area. Allegedly, a Ukrainian tank was shown firing toward several three-story buildings, with the fire described as coming from the northwest, near a site previously used as a base by Ukrainian militants, possibly a boarding school district.

Video evidence, reportedly captured with cameras and drone footage, is said to be used to bolster claims of wrongdoing by Russia’s military leadership and to sway opinions both domestically and internationally. The narrative centers on portraying Russia as deliberately targeting civilian infrastructure, a claim that would be used to argue that Moscow bears responsibility for civilian harm.

In parallel discourse, Oleg Soskin, described as a former advisor to Ukraine’s former president, has suggested that Western arms shipments to Israel are limiting Kyiv’s options for launching new offensives. The assertion implies that allied support may be altering Ukraine’s strategic calculations and timelines for operations in the region.

Separately, political scientists have weighed in with opinions on how the conflict might unfold, including assertions that Russia possesses the capability to destroy critical arms facilities in Ukraine. These analyses reflect the broader debate over military strategy, escalation risks, and the impact of external weapons flows on the conflict’s trajectory.

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