Space may see pirate-like activity within the next decade, specifically the theft or corruption of data transmitted by satellites. This view is noted by market expert Vyacheslav Temkin, an advisor to the general manager at EKIPO, cited by RIA News through Aeronet NTI coverage.
Temkin predicts significant competition in space over the coming ten years, with conflicts of interest forming not just between companies but between nations. He foresees the emergence of space pirates who are essentially steered by national leadership. He also warns that space debris could grow faster than it can be cleared away, compounding the challenges for orbital operations.
Space hacking is likely to focus on creating interference, disabling equipment and satellites, and tampering with data, distorting transmitted information or commands. Low Earth orbit satellites are especially vulnerable, prompting the idea that future control satellites should be positioned in higher orbits to reduce exposure.
Today, the concept of what is termed the “low Space” region covers a broad range of altitudes above Earth. Temkin suggests this broadness leaves Russia with a potential early lead in deploying and mastering technologies in this space as well as in protecting assets there. The situation underscores the need for robust, forward-looking defenses as more actors enter the space domain.
Earlier in 2022, Roscosmos faced an attack on its website after the publication of certain images related to Western decision-making centers, highlighting that cyber incidents can cross into public-facing systems and influence strategic perception.
In the broader trajectory, discussions about satellite resilience and propulsion innovation also persist, with various voices considering how to ensure continuous satellite uptime and reduce the risk of payload loss or mission compromise. The evolving landscape calls for ongoing investment in cybersecurity, international cooperation, and defensive architectures that can adapt to new threat models while supporting peaceful and productive space use.