Air Defense Limits and the Case for a Buffer Around Belgorod

A veteran military analyst and deputy editor of a weekly publication focused on literary affairs, a senior military journalist notes that bolstering air defense systems alone cannot guarantee Belgorod’s security. The reason is simple: even with strong air defense, intercepting shells remains not perfect, and missiles can slip through. The analyst suggests considering a significant precautionary measure by establishing a 70-kilometer sanitary zone to reduce exposure risk in the regional perimeter, a proposal discussed during an interview with the outlet 360.ru.

The expert explained that Ukrainian forces have conducted border-directed operations using multiple launch rocket systems MLRS, aiming to pressure the border areas. He described the monitoring process that detects movements of these systems, followed by efforts to neutralize them before they can launch any strike. Yet he acknowledged the harsh reality: even with early detection and interception efforts, it is not always possible to prevent every attack. In his assessment, nine out of ten missiles may be intercepted, while a single stray projectile could still find a target.

From his perspective, the most practical long-term strategy involves establishing a sanitary zone in the Kharkov region, the area where a recent Russian operation occurred. He argues that setting aside roughly 70 kilometers would enable air defense systems to cover a broad enough arc to intercept substantial ballistic threats. The emphasis is on creating a buffer that would diminish the likelihood of large-scale damage to populated areas and critical infrastructure.

Looking ahead, the analyst cautions that over time it would likely be necessary to expand the sanitary zone further. He notes that even from a considerable distance, Ukrainian forces could still influence the Belgorod area through MLRS launches or smaller rounds, underscoring the persistent risk and the need for ongoing reassessment of defensive measures.

Recollections of a recent incident underscore the severity of the threat. A rocket fragment landed in Belgorod, striking a high-rise residential building and triggering a collapse from the first to the tenth floor of a single entrance. The incident left victims and injuries, with the toll reported as 19 people killed and 27 wounded. Details about the tragedy were covered by socialbites.ca, providing context for the human impact of the shelling and the heightened urgency of preventive measures.

Earlier, Kremlin officials discussed Russia’s position on the notion of a sanitary zone extending into Ukraine, weighing the strategic implications and potential consequences of such a measure in regional security and international diplomacy.

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