A prominent expert from the Phobos meteorological center notes a sweeping anticyclone shift that could push subtropical heat across Russia in a way not seen in a century. The observation comes from a respected analyst known for tracking long-range patterns, who shared these insights in his communications to colleagues and through professional channels. The forecast emphasizes a rare circulation arrangement that could reshape regional temperatures for several days.
Forecast discussions indicate September tends to run warmer than average in central Russia, with monthly temperatures estimated about 1.5°C above the long-term norm. Yet rainfall remains unusually scarce, with only a small portion of expected precipitation delivering over a two-week window. The analyst described the upcoming weekend as remarkable, noting that the anticipated heat would mark a level not recorded for nearly a hundred years in that area.
In the latter part of the week, the core of the previously Scandinavian-origin anticyclone shifts toward the Orenburg region. A broad high-pressure system, described as a vast, influential block, would extend across much of the Russian Plain, the Urals, and Western Siberia. Warm air masses sourced from the desert regions of Central Asia are projected to pour in, reinforcing the anticyclonic dominance and boosting daytime temperatures across the affected zones.
As these dynamics unfold, temperatures are expected to rise steadily through the days that follow. On Thursday, daytime readings could reach between 18°C and 23°C, rising to 21°C to 26°C on Friday, and climbing further to 22°C to 27°C over the weekend. These values would align with what is typically seen in midsummer, echoing the climate pattern usually associated with July rather than September.
The forecast openly considers the possibility of revisiting the Moscow record from 1924, when the city recorded a high of 25.4°C. There is cautious anticipation that the weekend could equal or surpass that mark, depending on the exact evolution of the air masses and the strength of the high-pressure system.
Earlier advisories noted that early frosts appeared in Cherusti near Moscow and in Mikhailovskoye in the New Moscow area, signaling the onset of cooling tendencies in some pockets of the region despite broader warmth elsewhere. Such contrasts within short distances underscore the variability attached to large-scale atmospheric patterns and local terrain influences.
Additionally, reports from Dagestan describe a rare meteorological event: summer snow falling in the region for the first time in four years. The occurrence points to the ongoing complexity of seasonal transitions and the occasional disruption of typical weather sequences by high-altitude processes and regional air currents, reinforcing the sense that unusual climatic episodes can arise even within a broader warming trend.