donald trump This Tuesday in New Hampshire, he took another step towards his inevitable candidacy as the Republican candidate in the November presidential elections in the United States. After last week’s landslide victory in the Iowa caucuses, he added: A decisive victory in the first primaries.
Even though he was the only competitor left in the race Nikki Haley vows to keep fighting It’s hard to see the candidate having any way of stopping the former president, whom the president named as the de facto candidate this Tuesday. Joe Biden wins symbolic Democratic primaries even if it’s not on the ballot.
These are the five keys to Tuesday’s election.
1 – Trump has competition, not brakes
New Hampshire was the state where Haley could do the most damage to Trump, given the characteristics of the electorate, with a strong weight of moderates and independents and a percentage of the highly educated population above the national average; which is not likely to support it. . Even that wasn’t enough to stop the former president. Unless there is a legal, political or vital earthquake, he is moving towards his third presidential candidacy. consecutive.
He won according to exit polls across all age groups and among both men and women in the state. happened good results across all demographic groupsAnd eight out of ten voters in those polls said they had strong positive feelings towards him. Loyalty to the former president among his followers is unwavering.
2 – Rebroadcast of the Biden-Trump duel is getting closer
Trump already look at november. The campaign team plans to begin increasing its activities in key states expected to be crucial in the presidential election, such as Georgia, Michigan or Arizona (where the former president will head to attend a state party dinner this Friday). They want to focus their messaging and strategy on two issues that will be central in this election and that New Hampshire voters identified as essential when voting in exit polls: economy And migration (in front foreign policy And abortion).
Republicans aren’t the only ones waiting for a repeat of the duel Biden. The Democrat released a statement this Tuesday night and assured: “Already It has become clear that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee”. And in this message he once again talked about what was “at stake”, citing democracy, personal freedoms (“from the right to vote to the right to vote”) and the economy.
Biden also wrote a thank-you letter to Democratic voters in New Hampshire who voted for him this Tuesday.Resounding victory over Dean PhillipsThe moderate (and young) congressman who challenges him. He won the contest, which was unofficial and would not distribute delegates due to disagreements between the state and the party due to the preliminary calendar change, by nearly 50 points, even though he was not on the ballot.
3- Haley’s effort
Haley has two losses in two states where she has devoted maximum time, investment and effort. still exists worst expectations in the next preliminary appointments. Despite this, he insists that “the race is not over yet.”
This Tuesday, he recalled that of the 14 candidates entering the Republican race, only Trump and himself remained. “One fighter, fighter”. And he wants to see in the results that half the voters reject the idea of re-electing Trump.
Protecting for now support from major donors Like the Koch brothers, who won’t turn off the funding tap for now to continue their efforts. There’s a plan next week fundraising tour It passes through New York, Florida, California and Texas. And he believes he can disrupt what he says is the “narrative” of the media and the Republican apparatus that the polls and the opposition predict; currently in South Carolina, subsequent appointments or “currently allied with Trump.”“super tuesday”When 16 states and territories vote. Trump cannot guarantee the more than 1,200 delegates he needs to secure the nomination before March 5.
Haley will have to fight not only to convince voters but also to resist. increasing pressure. Because Trump’s allies, including prominent political figures and major donors, insist: abandon race and promote “unity”This gives the power to focus on the fight against the Democrats, not the internal struggle.
4- Some worrying signs for Trump
Even though he won in New Hampshire, some of these primaries are also coming out Worrying signs for Trump as he looks ahead to November. Haley’s strong support among the state’s moderates and independents points to the former president’s problems attracting voters who are key to a presidential victory. The candidate won 73 percent of Republican voters who described themselves as moderates.
About half of conservative voters Tuesday showed varying degrees of concern. extremism According to AP exit polls, it is very difficult for Trump to win in November. In ultra-conservative Iowa, nearly two-thirds of Republicans claimed they believed in their ideas. Complaints about non-existent election fraud in 2020In more moderate New Hampshire, the rate dropped (though it was still close to 50%). Polls also show that one-third of those who voted in the primaries believed so. broke the law He faces the majority of the 91 charges he is charged with, whether in attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election, his role in the attack on the Capitol or the irregular use of classified documents.
5- Severe days are approaching
Haley has turned the corner after months of containing and limiting her attacks on Trump to avoid angering the former president’s base and losing them permanently. The final days of the campaign have begun in New Hampshire More aggressive criticism. And this Tuesday he returned to Turkey in a speech admitting defeat but declaring that he would continue. questioning whether one’s mental capacity is fully intact due to his age (77 years old).
He may be more ready to attack, but he will also need to be better at receiving. Trump, who has been insulting her for a while now, seemed absolutely annoyed that she was still in the race this Tuesday. “I’m not so angry, I’m giving them back” he said at one point.
He began by calling out to her:fake“and say this”crazy”. He left it to Vivek Ramaswamy to deliver harsher messages, such as calling him a “puppet” of big Democratic donors. Call directly humiliate him in South Carolina, where he was governor. He even suggested that the candidate had certain qualities. body in the closetAlthough he did so quietly, saying he would be investigated by Democrats if he became president.