At the end of April, he came second in the presidential elections, exceeding 40% of the votes. He got one of the best results of a game. extreme right In recent history West Europe. Interestingly, after a few months disappeared the political circle in France. The far-right Marine Le Pen has fallen into the background on the roller coaster that French politics has turned into. National Regrouping (RN) paints quite a few in his campaign. parliamentary election 12 June (first round) and 19 (second round) duel Between President Emmanuel Macron and the new united front of the left led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
According to the latest polls that should be taken carefully, Le Pen’s party will be the third party with the most votes in the first round, with around 19%. However, due to the first and second round electoral system and only the MPs with the most votes in each of the 577 constituencies are elected, 20 to 40 reps in the second. In other words, at best for Le Pen, only 7% of the seats would go into the hands of the far right. Some opinion polls even estimate that the RN could fall below the minimum threshold of 15 MPs to form a group of its own in the French Parliament.
Historically, legislative elections have been difficult for the far right. this double loop system supports the victory of the lesser evil and thus the defeat of the Lepenist candidate. Only in 1986, when a more representative voting system was attempted, was the then National Front able to secure consistent representation in the Assembly, with around 35 seats. For the remainder of the legislative elections, only a handful of MPs were obtained. in the last legislature There were only 6 MPs from RN.
Le Pen admits defeat before voting
Le Pen was confident that he would be a good choice this time, at the end of April, after winning 42% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election and becoming the person with the most votes in 150 constituencies. It desired to obtain a coherent caucus and establish itself as the main opposition force. But the ultra leader saw how Mélenchon got the media attention from him. With the formation of an unlikely unitary alliance of the left at the beginning of May (formed by Untamed France, the Socialist Party, the Greens and the Communists), the socio-ecologist leader became Macron’s main rival. And left the RN leader out of the game.
“There will be a Macron prime minister. It makes sense, it’s dramatic, but that’s it,” Le Pen said in an interview with the ‘France Bleu’ radio station at the end of May. His statements reflected pure realism, but at the same time he admitted his defeat before the election, which was completely unconventional. Mélenchon is running for parliamentary elections with the ambitious goal (and unlikely, but not impossible) of gaining a left-wing parliamentary majority and imposing a left-wing party. cohabitation government According to Macron, Le Pen chose prudent and achievable goals, such as starting his own group. To the point where so much caution can to disband the voters the ultra, where the modest and working classes are overrepresented and easily abstained.
Threatened to abstain
“Our main risk is to abstain,” Gilles Pennelle, the RN’s national mobilization delegate, told ‘Le Monde’. Faced with an almost vanishing far-right and limited in its capacity to bring its preferred issues into public debate, the Lepenista party sought to use the exact opposite of what had happened in other recent campaigns. Champions League final debacle.
according to MEP jordan bardellaRN’s number two arose not from “a problem” with the chaos, fake tickets and bad access organization, but from “armies” of “rabble” who went to the Stade de France “to rob and damage”. “It was all secret,” said Bardella, who was involved in this campaign. Possible successor to Le Pen. He will certainly succeed in re-election as a member of parliament in the north of France, but has already announced that he will “in principle” not run in the next presidential election in 2027.
Despite its reputation for overcoming all electoral disappointments, Le Pen’s party showed some of its usual flaws in this campaign, such as a lack of local presence and local government. amateurism of applicants. So much so that he was ridiculed on social networks by repeatedly leaving the candidates blank in the election debates.
Amid this bleak panorama for the far right, RN will likely be able to console himself if he forms his own group in the House, something vital to this party’s battered coffers. He would also be pleased with his main rival in the ultranationalist arena, the Reconquista del. polemicist Eric Zemmour (7% of the votes in the presidential elections), getting less than 5 deputies or even being without representation.
Source: Informacion
