Impulse quantum technology will put the existing ones on the ropes cryptographic keys. despite their systems double authentication (typical message sent to mobile phone to confirm access), quantum computers It will be able to decrypt any existing key without any apparent high defense. Experts IT security Although they continue to give messages of calm while the incident is still in its early stages, they predict a stormy transition. During First Notaries Technology Conference At this week’s meeting, there were moments of collective anxiety over a future with technical uncertainties and little legal certainty. Luis Jimenez Muñozdeputy general manager National Cryptology Center He sent a reassuring but unverified message: “There is currently no quantum computer that can break existing cryptographic codings, but we must follow developments.“.
Notarial concern is a responsible outpost in growing professional suffering. The presentation of the deputy general director of the National Cryptology Center at the forum attracted attention, Luis Jimenez MuñozIn a frightening baptism when he titled ‘Quantum computing and its impact on information security’ he said: “There is still no quantum computer capable of breaking existing cryptographic encodings, but we must be aware of future developments; although in my opinion this will take some 50 or 100 years” Despite this conclusion, the reality is that development could accelerate if the quantum future revives the famous Moore’s law, which predicts processing capacity doubling within two years.
The semiconductor makes this 2024 prediction
Sector chipsAfter a weak 2023, good forecasts point to 2024. According to SIA, the international industrial association of the sectorThe outlook for 2024 “points to a strong recovery in the global semiconductor market, Estimates show it will rise 13.1% to a valuation of $588 billion. This growth is expected to be driven largely by the memory industry, which is on track to reach nearly $130 billion in 2024, trending upwards of over 40% from the previous year.” According to industry forecasts, all markets are poised to continue expansion into 2024 The Americas and Asia Pacific, in particular, are expected to show significant double-digit growth year on year.
However The chip industry landscape may unravel in the face of quantum disruption. The current industry is notable for high job and geographic concentration. Only two companies, Korea’s Samsung and Taiwan’s TSMC, have the capability to produce three-nanometer chips (the most advanced). Asia overall wins by a large margin in chip production, although the US and Japan struggle to stay ahead. Although an existing chip factory would require an investment of approximately $20 billion, quantum disruption could quickly reorient the computer industry. Hispasat’s head of New Programs, Pedro Pintó, presented the European project Caramuel, a secure distribution system for quantum keys via satellite, at the notary conference: “We need to develop router projects that cover all information related to quantum communication” to expand the reach of satellite system quantum key distribution mechanisms. a perfect complement to the infrastructure,” he explained to the stunned audience.
In a world of increasing randomness that opens up the quantum worldTransition and coexistence with silicon chips is currently unclear. Major industrial investments are still ongoing in the chip industry, and this will logically continue for several more years unless disruption remains in the hands of more than one person and obsolescence becomes unstoppable.
technological opportunity
Ulises ArranzMinister of Innovation and Quantum Technology AMETHIC it is thought to be “A golden opportunity to activate the Spanish quantum ecosystem. It is imperative to promote education and create a national strategic plan.” Enric Hernández, Director of Security and Innovation at the Notary Technology Center, assured that notaries are “at the forefront technologically” and are currently researching quantum cryptography “as an absolute priority”.
Dean of the Notary College of Catalonia, José Alberto MarínHe closed the meeting by recalling his duty as a notary in times of disruption and technological threats: “Our duty is to ensure the legal security of citizens. We have protected their data both physically and intellectually for centuries, and now with electronic protocol, this information also requires the highest level of computer security,” he said.