The rent-versus-buy decision amid rising rates and market stagnation

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In today’s real estate landscape, a recurring situation appears where renting can yield higher short term returns than taking on a mortgage. This observation stems from discussions around the Russian market as outlined by a housing portal and insights from a mortgage broker and real estate expert. The core point is that the current market favors renting over buying for many households, particularly when mortgage costs are high and purchase prices are less forgiving of fluctuating rates.

The expert notes that the secondary housing market may experience limited activity for the foreseeable future. With elevated interest rates, the financial gap between renting and owning grows wider. If a buyer does not make an early down payment, the opportunity cost can be substantial, potentially enabling a purchase of multiple rental units instead of a single home. In essence, the combination of high borrowing costs and market stagnation suggests that renting remains more financially attractive for many prospective buyers throughout the year.

There is speculation that the central bank could raise the key rate again at an upcoming meeting, a move that would push monthly mortgage payments higher and reduce affordability for a broad segment of borrowers. Observers also expect a rate reduction to begin only later in the year, with some predictions pointing to improvements beginning in 2025. This context reinforces the idea that rushing into a mortgage may not be the best move for those who are weighing options in the near term.

Personal finance experts have previously outlined a disciplined approach to home ownership. The initial step involves setting a clear financial goal and conducting a thorough calculation of total costs. Home price, down payment requirements, and anticipated monthly mortgage obligations should all be mapped out to determine whether ownership is the wiser path at any given moment.

For many Russians, the question remains whether paying off a mortgage early is advantageous. This question underscores a broader theme in personal finance: the balance between debt reduction and liquidity, and the timing of principal payments in the context of prevailing interest rates and market conditions.

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