Gasoline supplies to Russia’s domestic market are lagging behind last year’s benchmarks and the authorities’ targets to raise local sales. Industry insiders cited by Kommersant note that this underperformance by domestic oil companies contributes to higher market quotations, affecting prices for consumers and distributors alike.
In June, the plan shortfall stood at nearly 7 percent relative to the initial target for local producers. The shortfall is largely linked to preventive maintenance at refineries, which temporarily limited output and shipments.
According to the report, oil companies delivered 2.8 million tons of gasoline to the domestic market in June, a 6.5 percent decline from the same month a year earlier. The companies had aimed for over 3 million tons in June; however, actual shipments lagged by about 7 percent, aligning closely with June 2022 totals, as observed by industry sources.
On the positive side, producers have begun to steadily resume and increase daily output. After refinery repairs concluded, daily gasoline production rose by about 6.6 percent compared with May levels, signaling a gradual restoration of throughput and broader supply stability.
As of June 26, TEK materials cited by TASS suggest that Russian refineries could lift gasoline production to around 49 million tons by 2030. The projection also notes that output for 2024 would remain near 2023 levels at roughly 45 million tons, with an expected rise to about 48 million in 2025. These forecasts reflect a strategic push to expand domestic capacity while balancing utilization of existing facilities.
Analysts and industry observers have discussed how authorities might address projected gasoline shortages within the domestic market. The ongoing discussions emphasize practical steps to manage supply consistency, including refinery maintenance scheduling, strategic stock management, and potential adjustments to production targets in response to evolving demand patterns. The broader question remains how these measures will align with longer-term plans for domestic energy security and pricing dynamics. For reference, these insights draw on reporting from Kommersant and Reuters-style coverage as of mid-2024 and updates through mid-2025, reflecting the ongoing assessment of supply and policy measures across Russia’s energy sector.