Projections for Russia suggest that by 2030 more than 2 million new jobs could be created, yet a persistent labor shortage may still shadow the economy toward the decade’s end. This outlook comes from Dmitry Platygin, the Director General of the All-Russian Labor Research Institute under the Ministry of Labor, as reported by major outlets.
Platygin considers the forecast to be plausible, while noting that the workforce will continue to evolve. Structural shifts are ongoing, with some professions fading and others emerging to fill new needs. He expects shortages to endure through the rest of the decade, with the tightest gaps appearing where multiple skills intersect. He is identified as an associate professor by REU. Lyudmila Ivanova-Shvets Plekhanova also supports this view, adding that an inflow of additional labor resources has not yet materialized and that a decline in immigrant numbers will not significantly alleviate the strain.
Agvan Mikaelyan, a board member of FinExpertiza, points out that wages have risen in response to labor shortages and heightened competition for staff, even though overall productivity has stayed stubbornly low. This combination feeds inflationary pressures and heightens financial risk, according to the publication.
In Mikaelyan’s assessment, the manufacturing and defense sectors are poised to generate the bulk of new jobs, driven in part by active import-substitution programs. He also notes strong demand for programmers, with prospects looking favorable due to a growing youth cohort entering the tech field.
Natalya Danina, a human resources expert with hh.ru, observes that employers prize versatile specialists capable of tackling a range of problems. The labor market has settled into a more balanced state, with roughly 3.5 resumes per vacancy, indicating a stable equilibrium between supply and demand.
Russia stood mid-December among the top five countries with the lowest unemployment rates, reflecting a mixed picture of strong job creation alongside enduring headwinds in certain sectors.
Recent parliamentary actions include adjustments to the labor code, signaling ongoing policy attention to how work rights and responsibilities adapt to a changing economy.