China’s Banking Exposure and US–EU Shocks: Lessons from Lehman and SVB

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China faces exposure to Western economies, making its financial outlook sensitive to shifts in the European market and American consumer demand. In a discussion with the RIA Novosti agency, Lawrence McDonald, a former vice president at Lehman Brothers, weighed in on how a US banking crisis could ripple through Beijing. He noted that China remains highly connected to the fortunes of Europe and the United States, and that a downturn in those regions would test China’s economic resilience.

McDonald described China as holding tangible assets that could gain value during turbulent times, even as the country grapples with external pressures. His assessment highlights the dual reality of vulnerability to Western shocks alongside potential opportunities tied to internal fundamentals and asset quality.

Historically, McDonald oversaw debt management for Lehman Brothers in the years leading up to the firm’s bankruptcy in 2008, a collapse that signaled the onset of a global financial crisis. Lehman Brothers was once the fourth-largest investment bank in the United States, and its failure remains a reference point in discussions of systemic risk and financial stress.

Recent reports from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) noted the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a major US financial institution ranked among the assets leaders in the country. SVB’s failure stood out as the most significant bank default in the United States in well over a decade, underscoring the fragility that can emerge within the banking system when confidence evaporates and risk controls falter.

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