Bank of Russia: February 2025 Banking Profit Remains Strong Despite Seasonal Decline

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New data from the Bank of Russia shows that net profit across credit institutions declined by 22 percent in February compared with January, yet the total still reached a substantial 275 billion rubles. This figure comes from the Central Bank of Russia and underscores the continued profitability of the sector despite the month-to-month drop. The regulator points to several factors shaping this outcome, with the lower cost of risk playing a central role in maintaining strong earnings.

Officials explain that a key driver of the high income level is the comparatively small risk attached to corporate lending, recorded at just 0.2 percent. While that rate signals limited loan losses, it also reflects careful credit risk management and prudent underwriting standards that have helped banks preserve net income even as other variables shift. The emphasis on risk discipline appears to have cushioned the sector against broader economic pressures that might otherwise squeeze margins.

In their assessment, the regulator notes that the sector’s net interest income saw a decline primarily due to a shorter number of calendar days in February. Despite this seasonal factor, the overall profitability exceeded the Central Bank’s forecast, a result the Bank attributes to the low risk profile of loans to corporate borrowers. The combination of steady loan quality and favorable interest income contributed to a resilient earnings backdrop for credit institutions in the month.

Turning to lending activity, representatives from the Central Bank report that consumer credit remained steady in the last month of winter, with retail lending holding at 0.9 percent month over month in February and maintaining the January level. This performance sits well above the supervisory authority’s expectations and signals sustained demand for consumer credit despite broader macroeconomic developments. Mortgage lending shows a modest uptick, rising from 0.6 percent in January to 0.7 percent in February, reflecting ongoing housing finance demand amid favorable funding conditions.

Deposit dynamics also played a notable role during February, as there was a strong influx of household funds. The population’s deposits rose by a significant margin, reaching 2.5 percent of total deposits for the period. Such growth contrasts with typical February patterns and is attributed to several factors, including rising deposit rates and the indexation of social and insurance payments. The central bank highlighted that high deposit rates, reported at 14.79 percent at the end of February, combined with the January 1 indexation policy, contributed to the observed surge in deposits.

Overall, analysts and Bank of Russia observers alike see February as a month where profitability persisted against a backdrop of cautious lending and resilient deposit accumulation. The regulator’s assessment emphasizes the interplay between low loan loss provisions and robust interest income as the main pillars supporting sector earnings. As banks continue to balance growth with risk controls, the February performance provides a snapshot of a financial sector navigating a landscape marked by prudent risk management and steady consumer demand.

Earlier updates from Bank of Russia acknowledged a favorable mortgage growth trajectory, noting that the pace of growth remained steady and consistent with the bank’s broader outlook for housing finance. This continuity in mortgage activity, alongside the stable retail and corporate lending patterns described above, reinforces a view of a banking system that remains capable of generating solid profits while maintaining disciplined risk management practices.

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