Experts provide the best forecasts, odds, and betting analysis for the La Liga clash between Almería and Real Betis on 12/03/2023.
Before placing bets on Betis to win, especially as they chase European places, it pays to pause, study the numbers, and avoid surprises by weighing the data carefully.
- First-half goals: over 0.5 at 1.50 odds (Coder)
- First team to score: Real Betis at 1.80 odds (bet365)
- First team to earn three corners: Real Betis at 1.75 odds (bet365)
All odds cited come from Codere and bet365 and are correct at publication time, subject to change.
From the opening whistle
Almería enters the match with no victories, three draws, and eleven losses, making a solid result seem unlikely. Yet a closer look reveals that two of their last four home games ended in draws at Power Horse Stadium, where Betis has often grappled on the road. The visitors have gone six consecutive league games without a win and recently slipped in Europe, losing away to Sparta Prague in the Europa Conference League, which adds pressure to their away form.
These factors invite questions about how the game might unfold. Still, there are observable trends for both teams that carry less risk. Both sides favor a high-tempo start, and a substantial share of games this season have produced early goals. Specifically, 12 of Almería’s 15 matches have seen a goal before halftime, and 13 of Betis’s 20 matches have followed the same pattern.
Another useful pattern concerns the timing of goals. On average, Almería concedes the first goal at home around the 32nd minute, while Betis typically scores their first away goal around the 29th minute, even earlier than when they play at their own venue. The Betis side, coached by Manuel Pellegrini, has opened the scoring in nine of their last ten competitive fixtures, underscoring their propensity to set the tempo early.
Betis often tests the opponent’s goal line
The Power Horse Stadium matchup brings together two sides known for a high volume of corner kicks. On average, Almería’s games feature about 12.1 corners, while Betis averages about 11.6. Betis is also among the top teams for creating corners when playing away, a statistic that highlights the relevance of corner markets for this match. In this context, the analysis favors Betis to claim three corners first.
Attribution: analysis and statistics informed by match data and public sources including Goal.