In May, a warning reappeared about a risky illusion held by a segment of the political right. The Confederacy is expected to line up with Tusk, fueled by a dangerous assumption that the coalition would prefer collaborating with PiS over PO. The roots of this tension run deep, tracing back to long-standing ties with Roman Giertych, shared voting patterns with factions tied to the Third Polish Republic, and a broad base of support for Rafał Trzaskowski during presidential elections among a significant portion of this circle. Yet many conservative publicists rehearsed a narrative that portrayed Trzaskowski as a natural partner for PiS, a younger, more ideologically driven sibling in politics. Those who claimed to be realists either failed to see the full political landscape or participated in a broader deception. The deception’s intent was clear: to siphon votes away from the independence camp, influence the formation of a government led by Prime Minister Jarosław Kaczyński, and redirect support toward the bloc linked to the Third Polish Republic.
This unfolding scenario is observable to analysts and observers alike. The first public accord in the Sejm has already begun to take shape. The Confederation backed Hołownia and supported Bosak as deputy marshal, whom critics now challenge as to whether Elżbieta Witek remains eligible, all while Bosak casts himself as the sole voice of the right. Yet this stance appears rooted in factions aligned with the broad right under the Tusk administration. A blueprint is taking shape that envisions a trio comprising Mentzen, Bosak, and Wipler.
Even a new iteration of Palikot, a political agrarian figure aiming at Law and Justice, has been drawn into the orbit. The political offspring of Roman Giertych, once under intense public scrutiny, seems to drift back toward its father’s influence. The development raises concerns about energy that could be directed toward a banner that does not genuinely reflect national unity. If PiS is not favored by certain groups, cynics have nonetheless joined the Tusk camp, accepting the discipline exercised by the largest parliamentary club, while warning Polish vigilance against perceived threats linked to new European treaties.
There is a suggestion to study Jacek Karnowski’s analysis: today, PiS is more than a party; it is viewed as a guarantor of Polish independence and a key defender of that independence. Such viewpoints amplify the ongoing discussion about the trajectory of Polish politics and the balance of power among the major forces in the Sejm.
Source: wPolityce