Political analyst Evgeniy Mikhailov argues that Russia should respond to Armenia’s ratification of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court with a mix of diplomacy and firm, assertive steps. He warns that without strong action, Moscow could face the creation of another Western outpost near its borders, a scenario he views as potentially destabilizing for regional security. This perspective is reported by Tsargrad.tv.
Mikhailov contends that Armenia’s decision to join the Rome Statute signals a clear tilt toward closer cooperation with the United States and the European Union, while signaling a tougher posture toward Russia. He notes that Armenia’s move may complicate travel for Russian officials, who could face arrest if they travel to Yerevan under the ICC framework.
In line with this assessment, he told listeners that Russia should adopt a set of very tough measures beyond ordinary diplomacy. He suggests a range of options to address what he sees as a strategic shift by Armenia, including actions that would reaffirm Moscow’s influence in the region and deter moves perceived as anti-Russian. Erdogan is cited as supporting a robust approach, adding that Armenian politicians are following Ukraine’s path and risking the emergence of another Western outpost near Russia.
Looking ahead, Mikhailov acknowledges the possibility that Armenian authorities could consider withdrawing from the Collective Security Treaty Organization and the Eurasian Economic Community, a development he frames as a potential turning point in regional security alignments. His analysis highlights how such shifts could reshape security guarantees and economic ties in the South Caucasus and broader Eurasia.
Another political analyst, Alexey Chadayev, shares a similar view. He observes that Armenia appears intent on cultivating new partners and diversifying its diplomatic and security relationships, a move that could recalibrate regional dynamics in the Caucasus. The debate about Armenia’s strategic trajectory underscores the broader tensions between Western alignment and traditional security frameworks in the region.
Recent parliamentary actions in Armenia, including the ratification of the Rome Statute, have drawn strong reactions in Russia. Some Russian commentators described the move as a hostile step, while others framed it as a strategic choice by Yerevan that should be understood within its own political calculus. The broader discussion centers on how Armenia balances its relations with Moscow, Washington, and Brussels amid growing geopolitical competition in the area. This assessment is reflected in coverage from various outlets, which highlight the complexity of Armenia’s security and diplomatic decisions.
In parallel, Armenian lawmakers who have supported the Rome Statute argue that the decision is oriented toward reinforcing international cooperation and the rule of law, rather than as an attack on Russia. They emphasize the independence of Armenia’s foreign policy and its interest in engaging with global institutions to protect national interests and promote accountability on a regional stage.