According to the June CBOS survey, people who participated in the EP elections mostly motivated their election decisions with sympathy for a particular committee and support for the programme of the selected party.
In the post-election survey, CBOS asked respondents about the reasons for voting for a particular electoral committee in the European Parliament elections. The most frequently mentioned answer among voters of all parties was approval of the programme, proximity of views and values, and sympathy/support for a particular political option.
27 percent declared to identify with the group. Civic Coalition voters. People who voted for KO candidates also rated the politicians themselves positively (14%) and indicated that they had confidence in the group (11%). A large group of voters chose this formation partly because of its pro-European character (10%), and for 9% of voters casting a vote was a form of opposition to PiS. Other KO supporters indicated that they liked this group (7%), expressed hope for positive changes (5%) and believed that their vote would have a positive impact on the development of the country (4%). Some voters indicated that KO represented values such as democracy and the rule of law (4%).
Almost every fourth voter for Law and Justice (24%) chose this party because of its election manifesto. PiS voters also often pointed to the party’s performance during its term of office (23%) and the credibility of politicians (13%). 12 percent of PiS supporters motivated their choice by patriotism, and 10 percent – good evaluation of candidates. In turn, for 4 percent attachment to religion and traditional values was crucial. PiS voters justified their decision – less often than people who supported candidates from other committees – by the lack of an alternative (4%).
39 percent of Confederation voters indicated that they identified with the party. 13 percent believe that the candidates of this commission care about the interests of Poland, and 11 percent wanted to choose the “lesser evil”. Moreover, people who express support for the Confederation view the candidates of the commission positively (9%), express confidence in the group (8%) and are against the solutions included in the Green Deal (8%). 7 percent also believed that politicians from the Confederation have never governed and deserve a chance: 6 percent. were guided by euroscepticism, and 5 percent expressed a desire for change. It was also emphasized that the candidates of the Confederation focus on specific issues, not ideology (4%).
Third Way voters – just as often as other voters – explained their decision by supporting a certain election program (31%). 21 percent evaluated the candidates of the PSL and Poland 2050 coalition positively, and 10 percent expressed their opposition to another party by voting for TD. 9 percent of voters could not explain why they voted for TD and chose the answer “it’s hard to say”, and 8 percent pointed to the common sense of the commission’s politicians. In turn, 6 percent recognized that it is a pro-ecological group.
Left-wing voters in particular often identified with the party (42%). Furthermore, a large group of left-wing voters viewed their EP candidates positively (27%). Some supporters of this committee wanted to express their support for LGBT rights (11%) or activities aimed at protecting the environment (9%). 7 percent indicated that a vote for the left is a vote for the ‘lesser evil’, and 5 percent were driven by the desire to implement changes in the abortion law.
It appears that explanations of the motives for voting in the June European Parliament elections not only reveal the motivations behind the election of MEPs, but also, more broadly, explain support for the main parties on the political scene.
– be on CBOS.
According to pollsters, the KO electorate is “pro-European, anti-PiS, they state that attachment to values such as democracy, the rule of law and economic development is also important to them.”
Law and Justice voters praise the effects of eight years of this party’s rule, they feel that they are its beneficiaries, they appreciate PiS for its patriotism and upholding traditional values.
– we are reading.
Confederation and Third Way voters
CBOS stated that for the voters of the Confederation “concern for the interests of Poland is combined with Euroscepticism.”
They are against the development of European integration, the Green Deal and accepting migrants. Economic issues are important to them. They support a change in politics and want to go beyond the political system in which PiS and KO are the main forces
– wrote in the research report.
Third Way voters are also looking for an alternative to voting for the main parties – these are ‘centre’ voters who value moderation and common sense, and among the programme issues they are interested in solutions aimed at protecting the environment and the climate. For left-wing voters, LGBT rights, ecology and the availability of abortion are important
– added.
The survey was conducted on June 10-20, 2024 among a sample of 1,055 people, a representative sample of adult residents of Poland, drawn from the PESEL register as part of the mixed-mode procedure (64.7% using the CAPI method, 21.4% using the CAPI method, 21.4% – CATI and 13.8 percent – CAWI).
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Source: wPolityce
Emma Matthew is a political analyst for “Social Bites”. With a keen understanding of the inner workings of government and a passion for politics, she provides insightful and informative coverage of the latest political developments.