40 percent respondents express the hope for an improvement in the situation in the country in connection with the appointment of the government of Donald Tusk; 37 percent are afraid it will be worse than before. 8 percent think nothing will change – according to a CBOS survey. 41% of people are convinced that Tusk is the head of the government. subjects; 49% express their disapproval.
CBOS points out that public reactions to the formation of Donald Tusk’s government have varied. 40% of people express hope that the situation in the country will improve after the appointment of Donald Tusk’s government. subjects. 37 percent he is afraid that it will be worse than before. 8 percent think nothing will change, 11% declare indifference towards the government. respondents and 4 percent he has no opinion on this issue.
According to CBOS, it can be said that, compared to previous cabinets, Donald Tusk’s government arouses particularly vivid emotions and at the same time contradictory reactions; in total, 77% expect good or bad changes. subjects.
According to the survey, responses to the formation of Donald Tusk’s government are differentiated based on all the basic socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents, first of all socio-economic status, size of place of residence, and – secondly – age and gender.
Hopes regarding the government dominate among the most educated and prosperous people: those with higher education (60%), respondents with a monthly per capita income of at least 4,000 PLN (59%). residents of large cities with at least 500,000 inhabitants (61%), and in socio-professional groups: among entrepreneurs (63%), managers and specialists (57%), as well as among employees of state and public institutions (52 percent ). Women (43%) believe slightly more often that the situation will improve than men (37%).
Concerns about the takeover of power by Donald Tusk’s government are most often expressed by respondents with basic vocational education (52%), people with a monthly per capita income of less than PLN 1,500 (52%) and rural residents (45 %), including farmers (46%). , people aged 55-64 (47%) and older (45%). In addition to retirees (47%) and pensioners (46%), fear is expressed more often than average by people who take care of the household or do not work for other reasons (45%).
CBOS indicates that public perception of Tusk’s government is mainly determined by political and ideological orientation. Its creation was welcomed with hope by respondents who expressed left-wing political views (77%), but also by almost half of those who focused on their faith (47%).
The concerns predominate among those who identify with the right (65%). The less frequent participation in religious practices, the more often the hope is expressed for an improvement in the situation (among non-practitioners, 63 percent declare this) and, conversely, the greater the involvement in religious practices, the more often there is the fear that things will become worse (of those who exercise several times a week, 57 percent express this). per cent).
The vast majority of voters in the coalition parties believe that the situation will improve after the formation of a new government. Pessimism is prevalent among the Law and Justice electorate, as well as among supporters of the Confederacy.
In the opinion of 41 percent According to respondents, Donald Tusk’s government will be better than the previous cabinet of Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki. At the same time, 30 percent respondents expect worse governance.
19 percent respondents believe that the new government will be neither better nor worse than the previous one. Predictions about Tusk’s cabinet, like the emotions described above, show the controversies associated with the start of the new government.
CBOS points out that opinions on this topic mainly differ based on the political orientation and religiosity of respondents. 83% expect a better government. respondents identify with the left and 48 percent define their political views as centrist, while 57 percent Respondents who identify with the right wing believe that Donald Tusk’s government will be worse than the previous one.
Furthermore, the less often one participates in religious practices, the more often the belief is expressed that the new government will be better than the previous one, and vice versa. Voters of coalition parties express hope for improvement. The vast majority of Law and Justice supporters expect a worse government. Confederacy sympathizers usually predict that the current government will be the same as the previous one.
CBOS emphasizes that the intensification of the political conflict that accompanies the takeover of power in the country by the new coalition means that the new government is very controversial about a month after taking office. As noted, this is reflected in the outspoken attitude towards the current government.
Government supporters include 39 percent. of all respondents, and the same number describe themselves as opponents. 19 percent declare indifference toward the government. 3 percent had no opinion.
Taking into account the percentage of people who avoid statements for or against the current government, it can be said that no cabinet has so strongly engaged the emotions of Poles for more than thirty years, and that none of them at the beginning of its existence had so many opponents. . So far, Beata Szydło’s government was the most controversial at the beginning of its activities (the percentage of supporters was similar to the percentage of opponents), but clearly more people kept their distance from the new cabinet or had no clear attitude towards it.
– notes CBOS.
41% of people are convinced that Donald Tusk is the head of the government. subjects. 49% of people disapprove of the Prime Minister. respondents; 10 percent refrain from judging. Donald Tusk currently belongs to a small group of government leaders, alongside Beata Szydło, Jarosław Kaczyński and previously Marek Belka, who met with disapproval rather than acceptance at the start of their terms. Things were different in the autumn of 2007 and 2011, when Donald Tusk, when he took over as Prime Minister, caused quite positive reactions.
CBOS points out that although the new government has only been in power for a short time, the vast majority of respondents already have an opinion about the results of its activities to date. Performance ratings are mixed, with almost as many people rating them as good (40%) and poor (42%). 18 percent have no opinion.
In turn, opinions about the government’s economic policies are better than overall assessments of its actions to date. 46% of respondents believe that the policies of the current government create hope for an improvement in the economic situation. 40% see no prospects for improvement. respondents. 14 percent have no opinion.
The rising temperature of the political dispute in recent weeks has left few people indifferent to what is happening on the political stage, and is causing Donald Tusk’s government to arouse strong emotions at the start of its term, stronger than any cabinet since 1989. so often it raises both concerns and hopes and has as many supporters as opponents. Polarization is also visible in the attitude towards Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who is already leader of government for the third time and this time – unlike in 2007 and 2011 – is more often perceived negatively than positively.
– emphasized in the survey commentary.
The study was conducted as part of the mixed procedure on a representative sample of adult Polish residents drawn from the PESEL register. The survey was conducted from January 11 to 21, 2024 on a sample of 1,015 people (including: 59.8% using the CAPI method, 27.0% – CATI and 13.2% – CAWI).
mly/PAP
Source: wPolityce