HE strong PPCV growth These 28Ms, who would actually double the number of MPs in the Cortes, would rely on the high loyalty of their electorate—even more stable than Vox—according to the Invest Group survey for Prensa Ibérica newspapers in the Community of Valencia. and in the practical assimilation of the Ciudadanos voters, who from 2019 will barely retain one of the six supports and disappear from the Cortes.
This is what the vote transfer study shows, confirming the toughness of the conservative voter, that the populars and ultras are far above the left parties, with 78% and 72% of support in 2019.
In this block, Compromís once again won the most votes Problems arise for Unides Podem (63.6%), slightly above PSPV (62.5%) and only equaling 48% of the vote four years ago. In this sense, the survey shows that Clear water leaking from purple onesAgainst PSPV (14.3%) and Compromís (9.5%), which struggled to reach 5% of the vote.
Theoretical transfer of votes
looting of citizens
The compartments on the right look much more waterproof. Except for the loot of Ciudadanos –PP benefits above all (29.6%), as well as some Vox (5.6%), Compromís (5.6%) and PSPV (4.2%), the popular ones are hardly losing ground. The largest (6.4%) is Vox, where they “hunted” 13.6% of their support in 2019, making a positive exchange with the popular one. Only 3.2% switch to PSPV %.
But that path is being followed in the opposite direction by 6% of 2019’s socialist voters, and they will now lean towards PPCV.
Analysis of the desire to win by age, far-right penetration among the youngest. It will be the third force that will receive the most support in the 18-24 age group.
TECHNICAL FORM OF THE SURVEY
1,500 phone calls in three provinces: 607 in Valencia, 530 in Alicante and 363 in Castellón. Surveys were conducted between 2-11 May 2023. Stratified sampling by provinces and population. +-2.58% margin of error for a 95.5% confidence level. Source: Investment Group.