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The Oscar season is reaching a fever pitch, with critics suggesting a shift in how award dynamics unfold, and the public already buzzing about the statuettes across North America. Observers note that the growing appeal of certain performances and films has everyone pondering which titles will eventually become the talk of after-parties and post-ceremony conversations. Here is the carefully considered list of contenders and predictions that have captured the attention of fans on both sides of the border:

Best movie: In this order, they deserve Tár, Top Gun: Maverick and The Triangle of Sadness. The predicted eastern comedy will win.

Best director: A two-time Cannes winner with consecutive hits, Todd Field for Tár or Ruben Östlund for The Triangle of Sadness stand tall. The new vision from the Wachowskis may not align with the frontrunner choice this year.

Best actor: The field includes strong names like Elvis and Austin Butler, yet Colin Farrell and Bill Nighy also push for recognition through nuanced performances. A win could hinge on the overall impact perceived by the voting group.

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett’s formidable presence makes her a perennial favorite for Tar, though Michelle Yeoh is hot on the heels, offering a performance that resonates across generations and genres.

Cinematography: The craft behind the camera often hides in plain sight, shaping mood and texture in ways that linger well after the credits roll.

Supporting actor: Barry Keoghan delivers a restrained, gripping performance that elevates the film’s emotional core, sometimes outshining even the leading actors in his tier of the story.

Supporting actress: If Kerry Condon isn’t honored for her work in Inisherin, many say the Academy misses a key emotional thread. Angela Bassett’s continued influence remains a benchmark for performance across the spectrum.

Original score: The music often guides the film’s heartbeat, sometimes whispering where dialogue cannot reach, and leaving a lasting imprint on the audience.

Original screenplay: For Tár or The Triangle of Sadness, the storytelling shines through fresh, inventive narratives that invite repeated viewings and deeper interpretation.

Adapted screenplay: For those who study how a script translates to cinematic impact, Top Gun: Maverick offers a study in leveraging established characters within a modern framework to maximize audience engagement.

Foreign film: Ricardo Darín’s presence anchors Argentina, 1985, offering a powerful testament to national cinema that resonates with audiences beyond its borders.

Documentary: A masterful piece follows an investigative thread where a notable dissident reflects on historical events, revealing the human side of political tension without relying on sensationalism.

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