Forecast Overview for the Week
Weather conditions look relatively stable across much of the region, with a low probability of heavy rain. The first half of the week should see drier spells mainly in the areas south of Andalusia, while the second half will trend toward the northeast, bringing more widespread, though still light, precipitation. Overall, rain is expected to be weak and scattered rather than intense.
Rubén del Campo, spokesperson for the State Meteorological Service, notes that rain will also affect the most mountainous corners of the northern Canary Islands this Monday, with rainfall gradually increasing as the week progresses. Across the board, cold mornings featuring frost will retreat as daytime temperatures rise, giving way to a more temperate afternoon climate in many inland zones.
Today, Monday, forecasts point to mostly sunny skies with occasional snowfall on the Pyrenees. Light showers could brush Catalonia and the Balearic Islands, while strong winds will blow along the northeast coast and temperatures will climb away from the heat on the Mediterranean coast, where they will dip slightly later in the day.
Forecast by Day
On Tuesday, a DANA or isolated high-pressure depression near the Bay of Cádiz adds some uncertainty. The day should remain largely lightly cloudy across most of Spain, with increasing cloudiness in the southern peninsula. Rain is unlikely overall, though a few weak, scattered showers might touch the far south of Andalusia, southeastern Castilla-La Mancha, the Valencian Community, and the Balearic Islands. More persistent rainfall is expected in the Canary Islands.
Temperatures will rise again at night across the peninsula, with the exception of the Mediterranean region, where frost may linger in some interior areas.
Wednesday brings a calm pattern to Andalusia and Murcia, though clouds may linger. There is a chance of a brief shower or downpour that could generate fog from suspended dust moving south from North Africa. Elsewhere, skies should clear, except for the Canary Islands where northern areas may see frequent rain and showers.
Wednesday night will keep interior frost in the northern half of the country. Daytime temperatures will climb, with many areas surpassing 20 degrees Celsius. The Guadalquivir Valley could reach the high twenties, even near 28 degrees in Seville and surrounding zones.
From Holy Thursday onward, the DANA shifts away and the weather gradually stabilizes into a more anticyclonic pattern across the country. Expect generally clear skies with only occasional inland clouds in the afternoon. Temperatures will rise early in the day, frost will ease, and many places will exceed 20 degrees Celsius; some cities such as Badajoz, Córdoba, and Seville may approach 28 to 30 degrees.
On the Mediterranean coast, sea breezes will keep afternoon readings around 18 to 20 degrees, with the sea remaining somewhat cool for swimming. Rubén del Campo notes the sea may stay a touch chilly for casual bathing.
Good Friday could bring a touch more instability to the northeast, with a chance of rain along the eastern Cantabrian Sea, the Pyrenees, Catalonia, the southern Iberian system, and the Balearic Islands. Snow is possible above 1,000 meters in the Pyrenees, and temperatures may drop in the north while continuing to rise in the south.
Looking ahead from Saturday to Monday, forecast confidence decreases, but indications point to continued precipitation in the northwest and the Balearic Islands. Expect occasional showers and periods of light rain, with more scattered activity in those regions. By this period, temperatures are likely to exceed 20 degrees across most of the country, with the Guadalquivir Valley possibly reaching around 30 degrees.
Overall, a final note: the week is characterized by a gradual shift from frost-prone interiors to warmer days, with the most notable contrast occurring between the early morning and afternoon hours in many regions. Spatial variations will be more pronounced near the coast and in the higher elevations, where the mix of sun, clouds, and precipitation will create a patchwork of weather experiences across the country.