The average electricity price for customers who pay through regulated rates, which follow wholesale market movements, is set to rise on Sunday. Analysts project a jump of about 31.6 percent from Saturday, bringing the daily rate to around 219.48 euros per megawatt hour. This shift reflects how wholesale pricing feeds into consumer bills for those on regulated plans, and it underscores how market volatility in energy commodities can directly impact household expenses even before any retailer margins or taxes are applied.
In the wholesale market, often referred to as the pool, the prevailing price for electric energy is tracked on a hourly basis and summarized as an average for the day. For this Sunday, the pool was reported near 146.45 euros per MWh, with intra-day variations that create peak and trough moments. The highest hourly price is expected to reach about 181.07 euros per MWh between 20:00 and 21:00, while the lowest hourly level is anticipated around 03:00 to 04:00, near 114.60 euros per MWh. The Iberian Energy Market Operator has released provisional figures that reflect these fluctuations, which are closely watched by regulators, market participants, and consumers who want to understand how their costs may evolve throughout the day. Such hourly dynamics are shaped by supply and demand balances, generation mix, and external factors like weather conditions and fuel prices, all of which interact in real time to set the pool price for the region.
On top of the base pool price, a compensation component is added for consumers who benefit from regulated tariffs or indexed rates, ensuring that changes in fuel costs are partially reflected in the final charges. For the upcoming day, this additional adjustment is estimated at about 73.03 euros per MWh, aligning with policy mechanisms designed to shield certain buyers from sudden market shocks while still maintaining a link to wholesale movements. The result is a blended price that reflects both the wholesale baseline and the cost adjustments mandated by the pricing framework, illustrating how regulatory design interacts with market signals to determine what households will actually pay for electricity tomorrow.