Markets stay cautious after Fed decision and eurozone data

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Markets follow a turbulent week with Fed decision and regional data

The session began with a cautious tilt as major indices moved higher, lifting the Ibex 35 toward earlier highs. The move reflected a mix of earnings news, global macro signals, and ongoing geopolitical concerns that continued to shadow markets. Traders watched for clues on how central bank policy and geopolitical developments might shape asset prices in the days ahead.

In the wake of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee kept interest rates in the target corridor of 5.25% to 5.5%. The decision maintains the highest level seen since January 2001, signaling a wait-and-see stance as the economy absorbs recent data and analysts reassess inflation trajectories. Market participants weighed the implications for rates, the yield curve, and currency dynamics, with portfolios adjusting to a policy stance that favors patience over rapid changes.

Airports and infrastructure groups were among the notable performers, with some entities reporting solid quarterly results. Aena, the airport operator, disclosed a net profit for the first nine months of the year, a figure that surpassed the prior year and aligned with the performance noted in 2019. The results helped buoy sentiment among transport-related equities while signaling resilience in travel demand.

Grifols reported a substantial year‑over‑year decline in earnings for the first nine months, a reminder of the sector’s sensitivity to input costs and broader demand trends. The company’s updated figures underscored earnings volatility that investors continue to price into healthcare equities as part of a broader rotation away from defensive names on some days and back toward growth on others.

Spain’s debt management authority signaled a busy auction calendar, planning to issue government bonds with a focus on inflation-linked instruments for November. The operation aims to support the public financing framework while providing market participants with new tenor options amid shifting rate expectations.

Looking ahead, the macro calendar is set to widen with Purchasing Managers’ Index readings for Spain, France, Italy, Germany, and the entire euro area. These PMI releases will offer a snapshot of manufacturing health and business optimism, contributing to the ongoing assessment of economic momentum across Europe.

In early trade, the day’s strongest movers included Grifols, Meliá, and ArcelorMittal, which contributed to notable gains for the index. CaixaBank, by contrast, bucked the trend with a small downside move that reflected sector-specific concerns. The broad market tone remained cautiously positive as investors digested earnings and policy signals.

Across Europe, stock indices opened with modestly higher prints: Paris and Milan led the gains, followed by Frankfurt and London. The breadth of advance suggested a broad-based risk appetite, even as investors remained mindful of geopolitical tensions and supply chain pressures.

Commodities and currencies provided additional context for the session. Brent crude traded above the $85 per barrel level, with the U.S. dollar strengthening against most currencies in early trading. A benchmark for the Old Continent, the dollar’s strength, came amid ongoing concerns about Iran, Ukraine-related risks, and potential supply disruptions from major producers in the region. In parallel, the euro fluctuated near the 1.059 level against the dollar as foreign exchange markets priced in the interplay between inflation dynamics and monetary policy expectations.

The broader risk environment remained sensitive to a mosaic of factors, including geopolitical developments and shifts in commodity markets. Market participants monitored the evolving supply narrative around Russia and Saudi Arabia, alongside concerns about inflation trends that could influence central bank actions in the near term.

Spain’s risk premium hovered around a moderate level as investors weighed the effects of fiscal policy, debt issuance activity, and the outlook for interest rates. The region’s fixed-income market showed attention to the 10-year benchmark yield, which tracked in the vicinity of recent ranges as traders recalibrated expectations for inflation and growth.

Overall, the session illustrated how a single macro event—a central bank decision—can ripple through equities, currencies, and debt markets, while regional earnings and policy signals add layers of nuance to the short-term trajectory. The balance of themes suggested that investors would remain selective, prioritizing quality earnings, balance sheet strength, and durable cash flows as they navigate ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties. [Attribution: Market data and policy signals reported by trusted financial outlets and institutions]

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