Partial restrictions on Kaliningrad, the Russian Baltic region, by Lithuania mark a new front in EU-Russia tensions. Moscow warned of a robust response to what it calls an openly hostile move this Monday.
Russia summoned its Lithuanian chargé d’affaires, Virginia Umbrāsene, in Moscow on Monday and lodged a strong protest for what it described as a provocative measure taken without notice.
The Foreign Ministry reported the demand for the immediate cancellation of these restrictions.
Alongside Russia’s ongoing military actions in Ukraine, the blockade comes as Kyiv receives EU candidate status this week, with potential talks on EU entry and NATO expansion for Finland and Sweden, two Baltic neighbors.
Russia signals a quick response
The Kremlin said the move was illegal and suggested that an interruption of transit to and from Kaliningrad would be evaluated. It argued that the Baltic state’s actions create blocking elements since the enclave relies on goods routed through Russia.
Kaliningrad, a former German district named after Soviet reformer Mikhail Kalinin, is an enclave separated from the main Russian territory and sits between Lithuania, Poland, and the Baltic states that are now part of NATO and the EU.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called the situation grave. In the coming days, Moscow plans to conduct a deep assessment of events, attributing the cause to EU sanctions.
If the transit of goods between Kaliningrad and the rest of Russia is not fully restored through Lithuania, Russia reserves the right to defend its interests, he stated.
Moscow blamed Vilnius for violating the 1994 Association and Cooperation Agreement and the 2002 Joint Declaration governing transit between Kaliningrad and the Russian mainland.
Gabrielius Landsbergis, the Baltic foreign minister, replied that the cross-border transit arrangements were not Lithuania’s unilateral decision but the implementation of EU policy.
The Kaliningrad governor, Anton Alikhanov, warned that Lithuanian ports would be impacted whether they liked it or not, stating that they cannot exist in isolation from Russia.
Regarding transport, he described intervention measures as obvious and painful for Lithuania, noting that excluding passage through Russian territory would drastically reduce competitiveness and could even threaten the passage itself.
Consequences of the blockade
Alikhanov admitted that the partial blockade could affect up to half of the goods entering the region, including metals, cement, and construction materials, accusing Vilnius of trying to strangle the local economy.
He described the move as clearly hostile and indicated a preference to source or export products through Russian territory rather than through European suppliers, a stance he conveyed on state television.
He noted that not all goods would be affected equally; coal would remain unrestricted until August, with diesel and gasoline unaffected until December.
To address the transit problem, the European Commission was urged to adjust EU sanctions, a request that has broad implications for policy alignment across the bloc.
Alikhanov warned that failure to resolve the transit issue would mean significant losses and said the Lithuanian rail network is highly dependent on this route and would require investment to modernize and adapt.
He expressed confidence that more merchants from St. Petersburg and residents of Kaliningrad would continue to have access to essential goods, though the journey would necessarily be longer and more costly.
Previously, President Vladimir Putin had scolded Alikhanov for linking Kaliningrad’s challenges to Russia’s broader operation in Ukraine.
Is it a spy?
If Lithuania closes the crossing, parts of Russia could be cut off from the rest of the country, noted Alexei Gromiko, director of the European Institute, ahead of Vilnius’s decision. He raised the question of how Russia would respond, describing the blockade as a move that places Kaliningrad under military threat.
The measure does not breach a bilateral agreement but relates to the 2004 deal between Russia and the EU that anticipated the Kaliningrad corridor. With Finland and Sweden now aligning with NATO, Kaliningrad risks being more tightly surrounded by alliance members, a development Gromiko highlighted as strategically significant.
One suggested option involves the Suwalki Gap, a critical corridor that links the Baltic states with the rest of Europe through Poland and Belarus, a route that could become a focal point in any broader mobilization. The corridor has long been considered one of NATO’s most vulnerable points, prompting Lithuania to seek additional EU support at the end of March to bolster security there. The 2004 agreement envisions civil and military traffic between Russia and Kaliningrad, a framework under scrutiny as the Ukraine conflict prompts reevaluations of regional movements.
Cited concerns center on the potential for Russian troop movements crossing through Lithuanian territory, a possibility that has kept the corridor under intense international focus as tensions remain high across the region. The broader implications of these moves continue to spark debate about security, sanctions, and the future shape of Europe’s eastern neighborhood. Reportage from multiple sources indicates a mounting sense of urgency as actors weigh the costs and benefits of every action and response in this evolving situation. Citation: Reuters.