The coming days will bring an unusual warmth across several regions in Russia’s Asian part and adjacent areas. Forecast guidance indicates that temperatures will rise well above normal for mid-October, with values tracking roughly 6 to 12 degrees Celsius above typical norms in many locations. This warm spell is expected to resemble late summer conditions for a short period, offering a striking contrast to the usual autumn weather seen at this time of year.
Experts note that the warmth will be most pronounced in the Irkutsk and Kemerovo regions, the Krasnoyarsk Territory, and surrounding districts. Officials have highlighted that daytime readings may feel like September heat on several days, creating a noticeable departure from the seasonal climate baseline. The trend is predicted to persist through a portion of the coming days, giving residents a window of unusually mild weather before cooler air returns.
Specific forecasts point to significant temperature elevations in the Khanty-Mansi and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrugs, where daytime highs could reach 13 degrees Celsius in some locations, with nighttime temperatures stabilizing between 9 and 13 degrees. The surge is anticipated to occur during the 18th to 20th of October, aligning with broader regional patterns of warmth. During the same interval, Altai, Khakassia, Tyva, and the Kemerovo region are expected to experience daytime highs in the 13 to 19 degree range, a remarkable deviation from average conditions for this time of year.
In the Irkutsk region, thermometers may show values in the 12 to 16 degree band, reflecting a rise of roughly 7 to 10 degrees above climate norms. This shift will be noticeable across the broader eastern and central parts of the country, contributing to a mosaic of mild days that contrast with surrounding cooler nights.
Across portions of Buryatia and Transbaikalia, warmth is forecast to endure from the 18th through the 21st of October, while in Yakutia the window extends from the 18th to the 22nd. In Transbaikalia and Buryatia temperatures are projected to hover around 15 degrees, with Yakutia experiencing appreciable warmth of plus 2 to 5 degrees above seasonal averages, bringing a brief respite to communities in these regions.
Meanwhile, emergency services have cautioned about dense fog forming in Moscow and surrounding areas, signaling that visibility issues could accompany the warmer days in parts of central Russia. Drivers and outdoor workers are advised to use extra care as fog combined with mild conditions can alter travel times and complicate routine activities.
Earlier discussions from meteorology observers noted that September 2023 may be among the driest months on record for the capital’s climate observations, with rainfall deficits reinforcing the aura of heat in many days. Analysts point out that the capital could exhibit a positive temperature anomaly of around 2 to 3 degrees, reinforcing a pattern of above-average warmth despite moving toward the heart of autumn. This juxtaposition of long dry spells and warmer afternoons fits into a broader trend observed across parts of the region during this period.
Observers emphasize the importance of staying informed as conditions shift. While warmth provides a brief escape from typical autumn chill, residents are urged to monitor daily forecasts for any adjustments. The evolving pattern underscores the variability that can accompany mid-October, with some days delivering extended periods of sun and mild air while others revert to cooler nights and more unsettled conditions, especially in borderland and northern zones. Projections remain contingent on atmospheric dynamics, but the current trajectory suggests a notable, short-lived warmth wave across the affected areas, culminating before the arrival of more seasonally typical weather.