This Tuesday, electricity prices are set to rise by more than 4 percent, reaching up to 270.17 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh). The gas price ceiling will be reflected in the compensation received by facilities that use this input, with adjustments determined by results from wholesale market auctions or the pool, and the benefits will be borne by the end users who pay the final bills.
With these levels in mind, consumers can expect savings of around 16 euros per MWh compared with the 286.21 euros per MWh that would apply on the Iberian Peninsula if the gas price cap had not been implemented, as the region completes its first full week of electricity generation under the new regime.
Based on tender results from the wholesale market, which has so far set the next-day price, electricity is projected to fall by an average of about 6 percent to 148.03 euros per MWh, down from today’s figure of 157.48 euros. This shift reflects the interplay between generation costs, gas input prices, and the market’s automatic balancing mechanisms that influence daily pricing.
Prices will be logged across specific time frames, with a peak exposure of up to 180.03 euros per MWh between 22:00 and 12:00, and a lower bound near 126.36 euros per MWh between 17:00 and 18:00. These intraday variations mirror the volatility inherent in energy markets, driven by demand patterns, fuel mixes, and network constraints that influence when and how electricity is dispatched.
Despite these numbers, it is important to note that the posted rates do not capture all cost components. The adjustments tied to gas-powered plants depend on the volumes required and the overall system price, and these costs are ultimately passed through to households and beneficiary companies in their energy bills. In practice, this means that the final consumer price will reflect both market movements and the additional charges tied to securing gas supplies for power generation.
For the Tuesday session, the average adjustment applied to these consumers is expected to be around 122.14 euros per MWh, illustrating how price governance and sector fundamentals translate into bill impacts for end users. This figure sits within a broader context of regulatory measures and market mechanisms designed to stabilize prices while ensuring reliable electricity supply for the Iberian market and neighboring regions that participate in the same wholesale market framework.
Industry observers note that the latest data, issued by the Iberian Electricity Market Operator within an hour of setting the pool price, indicate a 4.4 percent increase for the MWh benchmark when comparing with the prior period, bringing the combined price including cost adjustments to about 258.6 euros. The evolution of these numbers underscores how quickly prices can change in response to changes in gas costs, demand fluctuations, and grid operations, even as policy measures exert a moderating influence on the overall price environment.