November 5, 2024. The USA has already started counting down to a dizzying new date. The long race for the presidential election will once again test the seams of the country with all its tension due to events such as Donald Trump’s judicial siege and the civil war in the USA. Republican Party and the president’s administration Joe Biden. Polarization in Congress and wars in Ukraine and Gaza add uncertainty to American politics.
Biden’s candidacy democratic party That’s considered normal after his first term in the White House, but his advanced age is fueling debate about the convenience of renominating him or changing his election poster. Running alongside the president are two other candidates with little choice: self-help author Marianne Williamson and Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips.
Average polls show Biden has about a 70% chance of re-election as the Democratic nominee, but his popularity has been in the negative since the beginning of his term in September 2021. Just over 50% of Americans approve of it, and just over 40% approve.
Inside Republican Party The waters come down much more turbulent. Of the dozen candidates who started the race, five made it into the primary. Former President Trump maintains a significant lead, with a more than 60% probability of repeating as the nominee. Far from him, Florida governor Ron DeSantis and former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley are vying for second place, both with 11% options. The votes of the remaining candidates are below 5 percent.
The unknowns will begin to be clarified at the first congress attended by Republicans in Iowa on January 15. Poll average puts Trump at over 50%, his rivals nearly 40 points away. Haley has a slight advantage over DeSantis in the battle for second place.
The figure of Donald Trump, who is accused of 91 charges in four criminal cases, attracts attention more opposing views than in favor Among Americans, the gaps have narrowed in recent weeks.
With less than 10 months before the elections, the average of the polls is November 5 elections stop dueling Biden-Trump by just one point in favor of the former Republican president.
Party meetings and primaries will be held in every state until the summer, and Republicans and Democrats will announce their candidates in separate races. national conventions. If both are confirmed, Biden will be nominated for a second term 82 years and Trump will contest his third election 78 years.