Victory for Islamophobic and Eurosceptic Geert Wilders netherlands november electionsAs a result of the political winds in Europe shifting to the right, he managed to channel social discontent in his country with his aggressive anti-immigration and anti-Islam rhetoric. A return that has occurred before ItalyManaged for one year by Giorgia Meloni (Brothers of Italy), Sweden or Finland – with both far-right parties backing the governing coalition – and this is being felt in more and more countries in the European Union. This situation Greece, Austria, Germany, Belgium and also FrancePolls show a strong increase in National Regrouping (RN) in the next European elections, which will take place between 6 and 9 June 2024. Marine Le Pen. Six months after these elections, does this mean? far right it could be key piece of new European equipment?
“It is very difficult to predict the outcome of the European elections so far. They are by no means governed by the same criteria as national elections. In many Member States these are punitive elections. And when and how you need to be closer to see who will be punished,” explains the director of the Brussels office. European Reform Center (ECR), Mortera Roadabout an election event that will start the distribution ‘best works’senior positions of future European leadership, including the presidency of the European Commission, currently held by Germans Ursula von der Leyen.
Europe Elects’ late December appearance puts the band in a place Identity and Democracy -bringing together Eurosceptics, populists and anti-immigration parties Italy’s Lega competes with the liberals of Renew Europe, among others, such as the French RN, the German AfD or the Belgian Vlaams Belang. third or fourth place The councilor (currently sixth) is behind the ECR, Greens, Liberals, Social Democrats and European People’s Party. An explosion that experts attribute to cocktail of factorsfrom Terrorist threat and risk of insecurity up to increase in immigration or Discontent of thousands of Europeans with their governments for overusing their privilege to approve unpopular laws since covid-19 pandemic.
“We saw the results in the Netherlands, the polls in France were terrible. “Pro-European parties need to think very carefully about how to focus this campaign so that the framework is not created by extremists,” the Spanish socialist MP admits. Domènec Ruiz Devesa. “Social anxiety and uncertainty about the future continues, which extremists are very adept at exploiting. “We have a good idea, but we need to explain it,” he insists. Compare the rhetoric of the far right with the achievements In the last five years, when Europe jumped from crisis to crisis, but expressed its reactions on economic issues with a recovery plan, fluctuations in energy prices or reforms in the electricity market to control migration, with the asylum reform, “It would be unnatural for what happened in Spain in May to happen in June (in municipal elections) . “So, by exploiting people’s mistrust, their uncertainty about the future, and their bad talk about immigrants, those who have no history or program for the future win,” he adds.
Poverty, exclusion and health
according to the last European Parliament EurobarometerThe main priority for 36 percent of respondents was tackling poverty and social exclusion, and 34 percent said public health should be; well ahead of the 18 percent who point to migration and asylum. The impact of the crisis and high inflation in the EU’s main economies, the response to climate change and the cost of the green agenda, growing discontent in rural areas, as well as asylum and migration policy will leave their mark on the European campaign. In addition to aid to Ukraine or the repercussions of the conflict between Israel and Palestine.
“There’s a lot of instability and polarization. Moderate European governments need an anchor. We’re trying to put into practice the idea that we’ve got this under control so that citizens feel safe because they’ve been going through absolute shocks for three years and it’s normal that they end up looking for simple solutions and quick solace, often coming from extremes.” Camino Mortera. Polls and analysts assume the EPP will continue to be the hegemonic group But beyond the rise of extremists that the polls point to, what will matter will be the “balance of power” between pro-European progressives and dormant reactionaries. Whether they are Eurosceptics or Eurocritics. “The numbers are going to be complicated because I think The decline of socialists and greens This will make it difficult to govern Parliament in many member states,” predicts the security and immigration expert.
future coalition
EPP internal sources agree with his diagnosis and suggest that the new European Parliament will be more fragmented, which could lead to a new configuration of more transversal agreements and pacts. The dilemma the people’s party will face if they win is as follows:renew the grand coalition Do the social democrats and liberals (and the greens) provide the figures? Will you focus on certain deals? ANYONEbreak the existing agreement and do you want to lean towards the far-right and ultra-conservatives represented by the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), where Vox and Meloni’s Brothers of Italy sit?
“Overall it seems unlikely, but in some respects it may be possible,” the professors think. Brunello Rosa and Benedict Poettering about an eventual centre-right coalition. Mortera also believes that a “marriage” between the EPP and the ultra-conservatives is difficult due to the very different understanding of Europe that each side has. “Are we going to expand in Europe? Through concentric circles? Will the Eurozone become more integrated? Will we get more debt together? There are fundamental issues on which the EPP and ECR do not agree at all, including the rule of law, so I find it difficult to see an alliance between them where there is no specific alliance that will be on the table. Forza Italia’s leader Antonio Tajani also denied this.
There is no doubt that the European elections will be a new opportunity for Türkiye. strengthening the democratic dimension from the elections. A recent report to the European Parliament signed by Devesa and his popular German counterpart Sven Simon and supported at the general assembly meeting in December, New measures to increase participation rate And Giving Europe greater visibility in national campaigns. For example, they propose that the symbols of European political parties be included in advertisements and ballot papers, and that the parties sign an agreement on the process of electing the next president of the Commission. spitzkandidaten– and we will prevent EU leaders from making decisions behind closed doors, as in 2019.