Parallel to what happened in other latitudes, the road to general elections in Turkey Argentinaplanned for October, seems to accept a unique return: center right to rightwith more variant ultra and doom. Only a Trotskyist minority left front emerges as a real regional anomaly, an exception to the rule established by these options. The map has been completely restructured due to discouraging events in recent days. This crisisincrease in povertysocial conflict and inflationas well as the hidden dangers of a devastating jump in price, reaching 114% on an annual basis. dollarHe set the political boundaries of the October contest.
HE peronismIn power since December 2019, finally Economy Minister Sergio Massa, as a candidate. ‘Power upstart’ is the title of Sergio Genoud’s book that reconstructs his biography. Massa grew up emotionally in the so-called Unión de Centro Democrático (UCD), which was nothing more than a right-wing force in the late 1980s. Carlos Menem. the arrival of marriage Kirchner In early 2003, she found him as a supporting actress. He rose through the ranks and became head of ministers for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner. He resigned from this post because he could not come to an agreement with him. nationalization of pension funds. In 2013, the paths parted.
Massa tried to become president two years later. It was not successful. He became the addressee of the businessman Mauricio Macri after becoming president. Its strength, the Front for Renewal, facilitated the vote in Congress for Argentina to restart a new cycle of foreign borrowing. She later broke up with him. “small advantageA nickname to describe his zigzag movements, the turns that take him back to the shores of Cristina Kirchner, where he doubts his honesty in public during years of mutual grudges. for anointing him as a candidate against the arrests of current president Alberto Fernández, who led an open-air feud with the vice president.
a tough drink
The appointment of Massa, who will join the Peronist primaries with a smaller candidate, social leader Juan Grabois, is a hard nut to crack for Kirchnerists. Their boss’s sense of pragmatism is indigestible to them. Fernández de Kirchner tried to hide some of his ideological positions, calling it during the last military dictatorship (1976-83) “death flights“, where the disappeared were thrown into the Río de la Plata or the Atlantic Ocean. And Massa spoke of the need, under these unprecedented circumstances, to remember these traumatic events. He had never done or needed to do this before.
The fate of the Peronist sanjak will largely depend on the economic results it will achieve in the coming months. The election prospects in the August primaries require a less explosive scenario than the current one. agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) In this sense, it is key. The agency should return about $10,000 million.
Panorama on the right
Fernández de Kirchner argues that the ideological drift of society makes Massa a reliable business partner and when he arrives at the White House, he is a much more competitive candidate than current Home Secretary Wado de Pedro, the son of the missing persons, who rejects his aspirations at the last moment. The polls so far don’t support him much. For a second time in November, the horizon of victory will widen or narrow as the internal conflict on the traditional right is resolved.
coalition Together for Change It has two candidates for mayor of Buenos Aires. Horacio Rodriguez Larretaand Macri’s former Minister of Security, Patricia Bullrich. still a curiosity both have a Peronist background. Larreta was Menem’s second-tier officer. Bullrich’s path is more circuitous. It belonged to the Montoneros guerrilla in the 70s. Twenty years later, he has greatly softened his morale. As Minister of Labor, he supported pay cuts. He became the champion of the heavy hand. Peronism wants Bullrich to win the preselection for that field and present it to society as the Argentine version. Sailor LePen. They predict his number will polarize the vote and Massa will have a better chance of winning.
Larreta, on the other hand, narrows down the government candidate’s options. He has more affinity with Massa than with Bullrich. “I will put an end to KirchnerismBut he promised. He had a more moderate rhetoric a while ago. Intervention by economist Javier Milei forced him to toughen up so as not to lose ties. Some polls show that the far right may not reach second place. If this prophecy is confirmed, analysts agree that Milei has already served her purpose: dust center-left space and compels his opponents to do some of their own postulates.